Bundesliga, played Friday, September 20th, 2024
Here is our Augsburg v Mainz tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Augsburg home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Augsburg claimed their first win of this new German Bundesliga campaign with a resounding 3-1 home win against St Pauli at their WWK Arena and the hosts hold home advantage once again for this Friday night's encounter with Mainz as the hosts look to register back-to-back wins in the domestic top flight for the first time since March of last season.
After just three games played to date this term, Augsburg have won, drawn and lost in equal measure and this includes a 2-2 draw at home with Werder Bremen on the opening day of the season but this point was followed by a heavy 4-0 loss on the road at Heidenheim, so the prospects of a home win here this Friday do seem to hang in the balance.
The wider picture shows Augsburg have managed to collect just one win from their previous eight games overall in the German top flight and having also slipped to six defeats within this period as well, the goals market appears to be the safer option for this clash, especially as seven of these previous nine games have resulted in Over 2.5 goals (78%).
Mainz's stubborn start to this season's Bundesliga was undone by a disappointing 2-1 loss at home to Werder Bremen last weekend which followed previous points picked up by virtue of draws with the likes of Union Berlin and Stuttgart respectively.
Indeed, Mainz had previously put together an 11-game unbeaten sequence overall in the German Bundesliga, a record that extended back into the latter stages of last season's campaign and included picking up five wins along the way as well.
However, it is worth pointing out that four out of the aforementioned five victories were achieved on home soil at their MEWA ARENA while results away from home have produced a rather barren sequence!
The visitors have managed to register just the single win from their previous 22 outings on the road which came in the shape of a 3-1 win away from home at Wolfsburg but this miserable period of results also include being dealt nine defeats in the process - in addition, 13 of these 22 away games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals (59%).
Mainz have also managed to keep just three clean sheets within these previous 22 away games in the Bundesliga and this could not only contribute to a few goals here on Friday night, but also result in another defeat on the road for Bo Henriksen's side as well.
Augsburg v Mainz Verdict
Goals have certainly featured in previous exchanges between Augsburg and Mainz as five out of the last six meetings between the two sides have produced three goals or more.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72
Other side bets worth considering:
Augsburg win & Over 2.5 goals @ 3.60
Correct Score: Augsburg win & Over 3 goals @ 5.50
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| H | St Pauli | 3-1 |
| A | FC Heidenheim | 4-0 |
| H | Werder Bremen | 2-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Werder Bremen | 1-2 |
| A | VfB Stuttgart | 3-3 |
| H | Union Berlin | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||