PSG v AC Ajaccio

Ligue 1, played Saturday, May 13th, 2023

Here is our PSG v AC Ajaccio tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a PSG home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

PSG vs Ajaccio Preview

PSG took another step towards gaining yet another Ligue 1 title last weekend in the French top flight when they recorded a 3-1 victory away from home at Troyes which became the hosts' eighth win in 11 games which has helped the Paris club to a six-point cushion over second-placed Lens.

Just four games remain of this season's Ligue 1 campaign and PSG know that another three points on Saturday night against relegation-threatened Ajaccio would see the hosts standing on the threshold of claiming the league title this season.

However, PSG do still possess an inconsistent streak from time to time despite the wealth of quality players in their personnel and this has re-surfaced in recent weeks as PSG have lost three out of their last four matches in Ligue 1.

Losses to Rennes, Lyon and Lorient have outweighed their one success in recent times which was a 3-1 home win over Lens but PSG still have their destiny firmly in their own hands.

Saturday's visitors, Ajaccio, find themselves on the edge of the trap-door in Ligue 1 as 11 points separate them from fifth from bottom club, Auxerre, and with just four games remaining, it would now take a virtual miracle for the visitors to avoid relegation from here.

Not only do Ajaccio need to win each of these last four games (including Saturday's trip to the perennial French champions, PSG), but they also need Auxerre and the other teams around them to not pick up any further points between now and the end of the season.

Ajaccio's cause hasn't been helped by the fact that the visitors have failed to win any of their last nine games overall in the French top flight and having lost seven of these nine games, this upcoming clash at the Parc des Princes looks to be a foregone conclusion.

In addition, Ajaccio have lost their last six away games on the trot along with failing to score in four of these matches, so the visitors are not likely to be relishing this upcoming trip to the nation's capital.

PSG v Ajaccio Verdict

23 out of PSG's 34 games to date this term have resulted in Over 2.5 goals but the odds for this goal option are very low, as is the straight win market on the hosts.

However, 10 of PSG's 17 home games have resulted in Under 3.5 goals (58.8%) and although the hosts are overwhelming favourites to win this match, there's a decent chance that under 4 goals are scored in total here, especially as 14 of Ajaccio's 17 away games have also resulted in Under 3.5 goals being scored (82.3%).

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 3.5 goals @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

PSG win & Over 3.5 goals @ 2.10

Correct Score: PSG 3-0 @ 6.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
58%
Tie
27%
Away
15%
Voting Is Now Closed
PSG V AC AJACCIO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-1000
1100
1800
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
162
-225
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-250
200
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-900
550
TIE NO BET
1
2
-3300
1400
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
PSG & BTTS Yes
210
PSG & BTTS No
-175
AC Ajaccio & BTTS Yes
2800
AC Ajaccio & BTTS No
2500
Tie & BTTS Yes
1400
Tie & BTTS No
2000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
PSG & Over 3.5
100
PSG & Under 3.5
110
AC Ajaccio & Over 3.5
5000
AC Ajaccio & Under 3.5
1800
Tie & Over 3.5
4000
Tie & Under 3.5
1100
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
750
0-0
2000
0-1
2800
2-0
750
1-1
2000
0-2
8000
2-1
1100
2-2
4000
1-2
4000
3-0
500
3-3
15000
0-3
30000
3-1
1100
1-3
12500
PSG
AC AJACCIO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
W
L
W
LAST 5
L
L
T
L
T
PSG
ATroyes1-3
HLorient1-3
AAngers1-2
HLens3-1
ANice0-2
AC AJACCIO
HToulouse0-0
ALille3-0
HBrestois0-0
AStrasbourg3-1
HAuxerre0-3
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
PSG
AC AJACCIO
POSITION
1st
POS
18th
PLAYED
34
PLAYED
34
WON
74%
25
WON
6
18%
PSG have won the most games in Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio are 9 games since a win
TIED
9%
3
TIED
5
15%
PSG have tied the fewest games in Ligue 1
PSG are 14 games since a tie
LOST
18%
6
LOST
23
68%
SCORED
79
SCORED
22
PSG have scored the most goals in Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio have scored the fewest goals in Ligue 1
PSG have scored in their last 5 games
AC Ajaccio have not scored in their last 3 games
AC Ajaccio have not scored 2 or more in their last 9 games
CONCEDED
35
CONCEDED
61
PSG have conceded in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
PSG
AC AJACCIO
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
WON
71%
12
WON
3
18%
AC Ajaccio are 6 games since an away win
TIED
12%
2
TIED
2
12%
PSG are 7 games since a home tie
AC Ajaccio are 9 games since an away tie
LOST
18%
3
LOST
12
71%
AC Ajaccio have lost 6 away games in a row
SCORED
38
SCORED
13
PSG have scored the most goals at home in Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 away games
CONCEDED
22
CONCEDED
36
PSG have conceded in their last 8 home games
AC Ajaccio have conceded in their last 13 away games
KEY STATS
PSG
AC AJACCIO
PLAYED
34
PLAYED
34
BTTS
56%
19
BTTS
13
38%
AC Ajaccio are best in Ligue 1 for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
68%
23
OVER 2.5
17
50%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
28
OVER 1.5
23
68%
CORNERS
8.9
CORNERS
7.3
AC Ajaccio are best in Ligue 1 for low corners games
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