Ligue 1, played Sunday, September 17th, 2023
Here is our Marseille v Toulouse tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Toulouse away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Sunday's hosts, Marseille, will be eager to further extend their unbeaten start in this season's Ligue 1 campaign when they play host to Toulouse at their Stade Orange Vélodrome as the hosts sit in third spot having picked up eight points in their opening four games while Toulouse find themselves in the lower half of the Ligue 1 table in 12th place.
Marseille have produced the perfect blueprint to a successful season as the hosts have won both of their games at home to date, whilst picking up points on the road, and this upcoming clash with Toulouse looks to be a great opportunity for Marseille to continue this sequence on Sunday afternoon.
Wins on home soil against Reims and Brest have been complemented by draws on their travels at Metz and Nantes but the bigger picture in recent times shows Marseille have managed to collect just three wins from their last nine games overall in the French top flight, a record that extends into the latter stages of last season.
On a positive note, Marseille have won five of their last six matches at their Stade Orange Vélodrome which includes home victories towards the end of last season against Troyes, Auxerre and Angers respectively.
Toulouse also started their new Ligue 1 campaign in positive fashion as the visitors recorded a 2-1 win away from home at Nantes and although that has been their only win to date in these early few weeks of this new domestic top flight season, there have been some positives for the visitors for sure.
A 1-1 draw at home with PSG is almost worth a win against another team for example, while also picking up another point in a 2-2 draw at home with Clermont but Toulouse were handed a defeat in their last road trip as they lost 2-0 away from home at Strasbourg.
Recent results have shown that Toulouse are no pushovers either in Ligue 1 as they have been dealt just the one defeat in their last nine matches overall along with picking up two wins within this period, both of which were achieved on their travels including a 2-1 win away at Monaco towards the end of last season.
Toulouse have also lost just once in their last seven away games in the domestic top flight along with collecting four wins along the way so the prospect of an away win here at Marseille is not entirely out of the question.
Marseille v Toulouse Verdict
Marseille appear to have this upcoming fixture with Toulouse all sewn up as the hosts have won the previous eight meetings on the trot against their visitors but this encounter could produce a low-scoring tussle as Toulouse have become a very stubborn unit on the road and the visitors may even sneak a narrow victory in this one.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 2.37
Other side bets worth considering:
Toulouse win @ 6.50
Correct score: Toulouse 1-0 @ 19.00
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| A | Nantes | 1-1 |
| H | Brestois | 2-0 |
| A | Metz | 2-2 |
| H | Panathinaikos | 2-1 |
| H | Reims | 2-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Clermont Foot | 2-2 |
| A | Strasbourg | 2-0 |
| H | PSG | 1-1 |
| A | Nantes | 1-2 |
| A | Monaco | 1-2 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||