Newcastle v Aston Villa

Premier League, played Thursday, December 26th, 2024

Here is our Newcastle v Aston Villa tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Newcastle home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Preview

Newcastle will be going in search of a third win on the trot in the Premier League on Boxing Day after posting recent back-to-back wins against Leicester City and Ipswich Town respectively, and The Magpies will be keen to keep tabs on the top four pack with a win here.

Aston Villa picked up a third win in four games in the Premier League on the weekend when The Villans registered a 2-1 home win against Manchester City which lifted the west midlands club up into fifth place and just three points within touching distance of the top four pack themselves.

Two 4-0 wins on the trot for Newcastle have helped lift Eddie Howe's side back into contention for a possible European spot for next season, whether that be Champions League or Europa League remains to be seen.

Recent results overall have been a mixed bag for Newcastle though as the north-east club have only enjoyed pockets of success; the hosts started the season winning three out of their opening four games, then registered back-to-back wins followed by the two recent back-to-back wins.

Form on home soil though at St James' Park has been pretty solid for Newcastle as The Magpies have suffered just two defeats in their last 16 home games in the Premier League whilst picking up eight wins.

Aston Villa heaped further misery upon Manchester City on the weekend when the west midlands club ran out 2-1 winners at Villa Park which also became a third win in four games for Unai Emery's side following previous wins against Brentford and Southampton.

However, it should be noted that each of these recent three victories have been gained on home soil at Villa Park and are Villa's only wins within their last nine games overall in the Premier League.

Within these previous nine league games, Aston Villa have also slipped to defeats at the hands of Tottenham, Liverpool, Chelsea and Nottingham Forest respectively and it is interesting and important to note that all four of these losses were incurred away from home.

Indeed, results away from home have been inconsistent at best where Aston Villa have been concerned as the visitors have managed to capture just four wins from their last 13 outings on the road as well as losing their last four away games on the trot.

Newcastle v Aston Villa Verdict

Having lost seven out of their last 13 away games in the English top flight, Aston Villa look to have their work cut out against a fairly solid Newcastle outfit at St James' Park especially as Newcastle have won the last two encounters on the trot.

Therefore, our main bet will be Newcastle win @ 1.83

Other side bets worth considering:

Newcastle win & Under 2.5 goals @ 5.50

Correct Score: Newcastle 2-0 @ 11.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
53%
Tie
31%
Away
16%
Voting Is Now Closed
NEWCASTLE V ASTON VILLA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-112
280
280
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-175
125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-163
130
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-500
350
TIE NO BET
1
2
-250
175
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Newcastle & BTTS Yes
240
Newcastle & BTTS No
275
Aston Villa & BTTS Yes
500
Aston Villa & BTTS No
700
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
1400
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Newcastle & Over 2.5
175
Newcastle & Under 2.5
450
Aston Villa & Over 2.5
450
Aston Villa & Under 2.5
850
Tie & Over 2.5
900
Tie & Under 2.5
450
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
1000
0-0
1400
0-1
1600
2-0
1000
1-1
700
0-2
2200
2-1
850
2-2
1200
1-2
1400
3-0
1800
3-3
4000
0-3
4000
3-1
1400
1-3
2800
NEWCASTLE
ASTON VILLA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
T
L
W
W
LAST 5
L
W
W
L
W
NEWCASTLE
AIpswich0-4
HLeicester4-0
ABrentford4-2
HLiverpool3-3
ACrystal Palace1-1
All ResultsHome Results
ASTON VILLA
HMan City2-1
ANottingham Forest2-1
HSouthampton1-0
HBrentford3-1
AChelsea3-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
NEWCASTLE
ASTON VILLA
POSITION
8th
POS
7th
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
WON
41%
7
WON
8
47%
TIED
29%
5
TIED
4
24%
Newcastle are 3 games since a tie
Aston Villa are 5 games since a tie
LOST
29%
5
LOST
5
29%
SCORED
27
SCORED
26
Newcastle have scored in their last 5 games
Aston Villa have scored in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
21
CONCEDED
26
Newcastle have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
NEWCASTLE
ASTON VILLA
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
8
WON
50%
4
WON
3
38%
Aston Villa are 4 games since an away win
TIED
25%
2
TIED
1
12%
Aston Villa have tied the fewest away games in Premier League
Aston Villa are 5 games since an away tie
LOST
25%
2
LOST
4
50%
Aston Villa have lost 4 away games in a row
SCORED
12
SCORED
11
Aston Villa have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 away games
CONCEDED
8
CONCEDED
16
Aston Villa have conceded in all away games this season
KEY STATS
NEWCASTLE
ASTON VILLA
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
BTTS
59%
10
BTTS
12
71%
OVER 2.5
53%
9
OVER 2.5
12
71%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
13
OVER 1.5
15
88%
CORNERS
10.9
CORNERS
10
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