Luton v Aston Villa

Premier League, played Saturday, March 2nd, 2024

Here is our Luton v Aston Villa tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Luton vs Aston Villa Preview

Luton Town slumped to a third defeat on the trot in the Premier League last time out when they were handed a comprehensive 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Liverpool away from home at Anfield which has left The Hatters sitting third from bottom and in the relegation zone, while Aston Villa further consolidated their Champions League spot in fourth place with a 4-2 home win against Nottingham Forest.

Luton Town had previously stumbled to losses against Sheffield United and Manchester United so this upcoming encounter against Aston Villa looks like being another tough test for Rob Edwards' side especially as the bigger picture shows that the hosts have managed to capture just four wins from their last 19 matches in the domestic top flight.

Three of these four wins have been achieved on home soil at Kenilworth Road by way of victories gained over Crystal Palace, Newcastle United and Brighton, the latter being a particularly impressive 4-0 win against The Seagulls but this 19-game sequence also includes slipping to 11 defeats which suggests Luton are likely to have their work cut out once again on Saturday despite holding home advantage.

Aston Villa collected back-to-back wins in the Premier League when they registered a 4-2 home win against Nottingham Forest which followed a previous 2-1 win away from home at Fulham and although the west midlands club have slipped to a few defeats in recent times, The Villains know they have a Champions League spot in their grasp.

Losses to Newcastle United, Chelsea and Manchester United have interestingly all been inflicted upon Unai Emery's side on home soil at Villa Park but the bigger picture shows that the west midlands club have lost just three out of their previous 15 games overall in the English top flight which must surely place the visitors in a strong position to claim another three points this Saturday evening at Kenilworth Road.

In addition, Aston Villa have suffered just two defeats out of their last 10 outings on the road while picking up five wins on their travels and it's also interesting to note that Unai Emery's side have also scored two goals or more in six of these last 10 away games as well, which could see Villa heaping further pressure upon a fragile Luton Town defence.

Luton Town v Aston Villa Verdict

Luton Town have won just three of their 13 home games to date this season and this may result in further pressure on the hosts as they come up against a confident and in-form Villa outfit despite holding home advantage at Kenilworth Road.

The previous encounter between Luton Town and Aston Villa earlier in the season resulted in a 3-1 home win for Villa.

Therefore, our main bet will be Aston Villa win @ 1.75

Other side bets worth considering:

Aston Villa win & Over 3.5 goals @ 3.50

Correct Score: Aston Villa 2-1 @ 9.50

TIP
Large Wager on
Away Win
1-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
22%
Tie
29%
Away
49%
Voting Is Now Closed
LUTON V ASTON VILLA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
333
333
-143
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-200
150
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-225
170
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-700
450
TIE NO BET
1
2
240
-333
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Luton & BTTS Yes
550
Luton & BTTS No
900
Aston Villa & BTTS Yes
187
Aston Villa & BTTS No
275
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
2000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Luton & Over 3.5
900
Luton & Under 3.5
550
Aston Villa & Over 3.5
225
Aston Villa & Under 3.5
210
Tie & Over 3.5
850
Tie & Under 3.5
550
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
2000
0-0
2000
0-1
1100
2-0
2000
1-1
900
0-2
1100
2-1
1600
2-2
1400
1-2
850
3-0
5000
3-3
4000
0-3
1400
3-1
3300
1-3
1200
LUTON
ASTON VILLA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
T
L
L
L
LAST 5
L
W
L
W
W
LUTON
ALiverpool4-1
HMan Utd1-2
HSheff Utd1-3
ANewcastle4-4
HBrighton4-0
All ResultsHome Results
ASTON VILLA
HNottingham Forest4-2
AFulham1-2
HMan Utd1-2
ASheff Utd0-5
HNewcastle1-3
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
LUTON
ASTON VILLA
POSITION
18th
POS
4th
PLAYED
25
PLAYED
26
WON
20%
5
WON
16
64%
Luton are 4 games since a win
TIED
20%
5
TIED
4
16%
Luton are 3 games since a tie
Aston Villa are 5 games since a tie
LOST
60%
15
LOST
6
24%
Luton have lost 3 games in a row
SCORED
35
SCORED
56
Luton have scored in their last 13 games
Aston Villa have scored in their last 5 games
Luton have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
51
CONCEDED
35
Luton have conceded in their last 4 games
Aston Villa have conceded in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
LUTON
ASTON VILLA
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
WON
23%
3
WON
6
46%
TIED
15%
2
TIED
3
23%
Luton are 8 games since a home tie
LOST
62%
8
LOST
4
31%
SCORED
19
SCORED
21
Luton have scored in their last 9 home games
CONCEDED
22
CONCEDED
20
Aston Villa have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
LUTON
ASTON VILLA
PLAYED
25
PLAYED
26
BTTS
76%
19
BTTS
18
69%
OVER 2.5
72%
18
OVER 2.5
19
73%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
21
OVER 1.5
22
85%
CORNERS
10.6
CORNERS
10.2
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