Premier League, played Sunday, May 28th, 2023
Here is our Everton v Bournemouth tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a tie. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Everton head into this final game of the Premier League season knowing a win will confirm their top flight safety for another season but a draw may not be enough, especially if Leicester City take all three points at home against West Ham as goal difference would be against Everton.
For Everton though, the equation is simple - win at all costs. But this may be easier said than done as The Toffees have managed to pick up just one win from their last 10 matches in the Premier League which came in the form of a surprise 5-1 victory over Brighton away at the AMEX Stadium.
However, five draws and four defeats suggest that the hosts are perhaps vastly over-rated by the bookmakers for this fixture and rather the goals market should be explored here, especially as seven of Everton's last 10 games have resulted in both teams scoring.
In addition, Everton have lost three of their last four games at Goodison Park having lost to Fulham, Newcastle United and Manchester City.
Bournemouth have already sealed their Premier League status for another season as The Cherries sit in 15th place in the top flight table where they hold a commanding eight-point cushion above the bottom three heading into this final match of the season.
Four wins out of their last eight games overall have been enough for Bournemouth to not only claw their way out of the bottom three but to also put further daylight between themselves and the relegation zone as Gary O'Neil has guided his troops to safety, thanks to wins against Leicester City, Tottenham, Southampton and Leeds United.
However, before we get too carried away, The Cherries have also succumbed to four defeats within this period as well, losing to the likes of West Ham, Chelsea, Crystal Palace and Manchester United, so the prospects of an away win here also seem unlikely.
Bournemouth's improved sequence of results though under O'Neill should at least see Bournemouth hit the back of the net against a nervous and edgy Everton defensive unit and indeed, The Cherries have scored in five out of their last seven outings on the road.
Everton v Bournemouth Verdict
Previous exchanges between Everton and Bournemouth have generally been entertaining affairs as seven out of the last nine meetings between these two sides have produced goals for both teams and we should see further goals unfold here at Goodison Park in what is undoubtedly Everton's biggest game of the season.
Therefore, our main bet will be Both Teams To Score Yes @ 2.10
Other side bets worth considering:
Draw @ 4.33
Correct score: 2-2 @ 19.00
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| A | Wolves | 1-1 |
| H | Man City | 0-3 |
| A | Brighton | 1-5 |
| A | Leicester | 2-2 |
| H | Newcastle | 1-4 |
| H | Man Utd | 0-1 |
| A | Crystal Palace | 2-0 |
| H | Chelsea | 1-3 |
| H | Leeds | 4-1 |
| A | Southampton | 0-1 |