Premier League, played Sunday, May 28th, 2023
Here is our Chelsea v Newcastle tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Chelsea home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Chelsea have one more chance to ever so slightly redeem themselves when they entertain Newcastle United at Stamford Bridge on Sunday afternoon as the hosts look to finish what has been one of the most forgettable Premier League campaigns as soon as possible.
A heavy 4-1 defeat away from home at Old Trafford against Manchester United on Thursday night saw Chelsea sink to a new low under caretaker-manager Frank Lampard and The Blues have now managed to capture just one win from their last 11 matches overall in the Premier League, that being a 3-1 win away at Bournemouth.
However, seven defeats within this period has resulted in Chelsea dropping down to 12th place and even if The Blues win against Newcastle United on Sunday, they will ‘achieve' the lowest league position for the last 20 years in the Premier League - something Frank Lampard will not want to be associated with!
Chelsea will certainly want to set the record straight here though as the hosts have managed just one home win in their last nine attempts.
Newcastle United finally got themselves over the line and secured a top four finish in this season's Premier League campaign when they drew 0-0 at home with Leicester City at St James Park but although The Magpies enjoyed the lions share of possession and attempts on goal, The Foxes could have nicked all three points at the death.
Nevertheless, a monumental achievement for Newcastle United and manager, Eddie Howe, whose credentials have been boosted no end by what has been an excellent campaign and the huge and obvious relief after securing that decisive point against Leicester City was there for all to see.
Although Newcastle have lost just twice in their last 13 matches, The Magpies will be wary of a case of ‘after the Lord Mayor's show' as their season is now effectively done and mission accomplished, and this could leave the door slightly ajar for Chelsea to exploit.
In addition, Newcastle United have won just four of their last 10 away games in the Premier League, so the visitors aren't exactly looking like nailed-on favourites to win this clash.
Chelsea v Newcastle United Verdict
It has been a season of contrasting fortunes for Chelsea and Newcastle United but despite the apparent gulf between the two sides this term, this upcoming fixture looks set to produce a low-scoring affair as six of the previous seven meetings have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and this clash may be no exception, while Chelsea have won each of the last 10 meetings at home against The Magpies.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10
Other side bets worth considering:
Chelsea win @ 2.90
Correct score: Chelsea 1-0 @ 13.00
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| A | Man Utd | 4-1 |
| A | Man City | 1-0 |
| H | Nottingham Forest | 2-2 |
| A | Bournemouth | 1-3 |
| A | Arsenal | 3-1 |
| H | Leicester | 0-0 |
| H | Brighton | 4-1 |
| A | Leeds | 2-2 |
| H | Arsenal | 0-2 |
| H | Southampton | 3-1 |