Burnley v Luton

Premier League, played Friday, January 12th, 2024

Here is our Burnley v Luton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Luton away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Burnley vs Luton Town Preview

Burnley slumped to a second defeat on the trot and a fourth loss in six games towards the end of December when The Clarets suffered a 3-2 defeat away from home at Aston Villa, while Luton Town were also handed a 3-2 defeat last time out in the Premier League as they lost at home to an inconsistent Chelsea outfit.

It's been a tough and ultimately disappointing return to the Premier League for Burnley who currently sit second from bottom in the Premier League table and five points adrift of Everton and potential safety ahead of this relegation clash against third from bottom placed visitors, Luton Town, when the two teams meet at Turf Moor.

Just three wins to date from their total of 20 games played so far this season underlines the problems that Vincent Kompany's side have had in not only picking up victories but to generally hold their own as the hosts have been dealt no fewer than 15 defeats within these 20 games as well.

Form and results on home soil at Turf Moor have also been extremely poor as Burnley have lost nine of their 10 home games so far this term which does not bode well for what is expected to be a tense and anxious 90 minutes on Friday night.

Luton Town have only marginally fared better than Burnley as The Hatters have claimed four wins to date upon their return to the English top flight but the visitors do possess a useful four-point buffer over their second from bottom hosts and are just a point adrift of Everton ahead of this tough looking trip up to Lancashire on Friday night.

Luton's victories have been achieved against the likes of Everton, Crystal Palace, Newcastle United and Sheffield United while also slipping to 12 defeats within their 19 matches played so far in this season's Premier League campaign.

Rob Edwards' side though appear to maybe hold a slight edge over Burnley as the visitors have won two of their last three games which gives The Hatters a little momentum heading into this upcoming relegation battle at Turf Moor.

Another thing seemingly in Luton Town's favour is the fact that of the visitors' four wins to date this term, two of these have been recorded on the road which may stand them in good stead for Friday night's tussle.

Burnley v Luton Town Verdict

Burnley have won the previous two meetings on the trot against Luton Town but this upcoming clash may well be in Luton Town's favour this time as The Hatters have picked up two wins on the road so far this season, although this encounter has all the makings of a low-scoring tussle as five of the last six meetings have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85

Other side bets worth considering:

Luton Town win @ 4.00

Correct Score: Luton Town 1-0 @ 13.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
20%
Tie
30%
Away
50%
Voting Is Now Closed
BURNLEY V LUTON HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
115
240
240
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-133
100
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
100
-125
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-333
250
TIE NO BET
1
2
-188
137
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Burnley & BTTS Yes
333
Burnley & BTTS No
275
Luton & BTTS Yes
550
Luton & BTTS No
500
Tie & BTTS Yes
333
Tie & BTTS No
900
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Burnley & Over 2.5
240
Burnley & Under 2.5
375
Luton & Over 2.5
450
Luton & Under 2.5
600
Tie & Over 2.5
1100
Tie & Under 2.5
333
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
750
0-0
900
0-1
1000
2-0
750
1-1
600
0-2
1800
2-1
900
2-2
1400
1-2
1200
3-0
2200
3-3
5000
0-3
4000
3-1
2000
1-3
2800
BURNLEY
LUTON
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
L
W
L
L
LAST 5
L
L
W
W
L
BURNLEY
AAston Villa3-2
HLiverpool0-2
AFulham0-2
HEverton0-2
ABrighton1-1
All ResultsHome Results
LUTON
HChelsea2-3
ASheff Utd2-3
HNewcastle1-0
HMan City1-2
HArsenal3-4
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
BURNLEY
LUTON
POSITION
19th
POS
18th
PLAYED
20
PLAYED
19
WON
15%
3
WON
4
20%
TIED
10%
2
TIED
3
15%
Burnley are 4 games since a tie
Luton are 8 games since a tie
LOST
75%
15
LOST
12
60%
Burnley have lost the most games in Premier League
SCORED
20
SCORED
23
Luton have scored in their last 7 games
CONCEDED
41
CONCEDED
37
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
BURNLEY
LUTON
PLAYED
10
PLAYED
9
WON
10%
1
WON
2
22%
Burnley have won the fewest home games in Premier League
TIED
0%
0
TIED
1
11%
Burnley have tied the fewest home games in Premier League
Luton have tied the fewest away games in Premier League
Burnley have not tied a home game this season
Luton are 4 games since an away tie
LOST
90%
9
LOST
6
67%
Burnley have lost the most home games in Premier League
SCORED
10
SCORED
10
Burnley have scored the fewest goals at home in Premier League
CONCEDED
24
CONCEDED
20
Burnley have conceded the most goals at home in Premier League
Luton have conceded in all away games this season
KEY STATS
BURNLEY
LUTON
PLAYED
20
PLAYED
19
BTTS
50%
10
BTTS
14
74%
OVER 2.5
55%
11
OVER 2.5
13
68%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
18
OVER 1.5
15
79%
CORNERS
10.8
CORNERS
10.2
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