Premier League, played Friday, January 12th, 2024
Here is our Burnley v Luton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Luton away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Burnley slumped to a second defeat on the trot and a fourth loss in six games towards the end of December when The Clarets suffered a 3-2 defeat away from home at Aston Villa, while Luton Town were also handed a 3-2 defeat last time out in the Premier League as they lost at home to an inconsistent Chelsea outfit.
It's been a tough and ultimately disappointing return to the Premier League for Burnley who currently sit second from bottom in the Premier League table and five points adrift of Everton and potential safety ahead of this relegation clash against third from bottom placed visitors, Luton Town, when the two teams meet at Turf Moor.
Just three wins to date from their total of 20 games played so far this season underlines the problems that Vincent Kompany's side have had in not only picking up victories but to generally hold their own as the hosts have been dealt no fewer than 15 defeats within these 20 games as well.
Form and results on home soil at Turf Moor have also been extremely poor as Burnley have lost nine of their 10 home games so far this term which does not bode well for what is expected to be a tense and anxious 90 minutes on Friday night.
Luton Town have only marginally fared better than Burnley as The Hatters have claimed four wins to date upon their return to the English top flight but the visitors do possess a useful four-point buffer over their second from bottom hosts and are just a point adrift of Everton ahead of this tough looking trip up to Lancashire on Friday night.
Luton's victories have been achieved against the likes of Everton, Crystal Palace, Newcastle United and Sheffield United while also slipping to 12 defeats within their 19 matches played so far in this season's Premier League campaign.
Rob Edwards' side though appear to maybe hold a slight edge over Burnley as the visitors have won two of their last three games which gives The Hatters a little momentum heading into this upcoming relegation battle at Turf Moor.
Another thing seemingly in Luton Town's favour is the fact that of the visitors' four wins to date this term, two of these have been recorded on the road which may stand them in good stead for Friday night's tussle.
Burnley v Luton Town Verdict
Burnley have won the previous two meetings on the trot against Luton Town but this upcoming clash may well be in Luton Town's favour this time as The Hatters have picked up two wins on the road so far this season, although this encounter has all the makings of a low-scoring tussle as five of the last six meetings have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85
Other side bets worth considering:
Luton Town win @ 4.00
Correct Score: Luton Town 1-0 @ 13.00
#AD Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+ to wager
| A | Aston Villa | 3-2 |
| H | Liverpool | 0-2 |
| A | Fulham | 0-2 |
| H | Everton | 0-2 |
| A | Brighton | 1-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Chelsea | 2-3 |
| A | Sheff Utd | 2-3 |
| H | Newcastle | 1-0 |
| H | Man City | 1-2 |
| H | Arsenal | 3-4 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||