Premier League, played Tuesday, December 26th, 2023
Here is our Burnley v Liverpool tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Liverpool away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Burnley raised a few eyebrows with their 2-0 win away from home at Fulham at Craven Cottage on Saturday which has moved the hosts to within three points of Nottingham Forest and possible safety, while Liverpool had to settle for a point in a 1-1 draw at home against Arsenal but nevertheless that result extended Liverpool's unbeaten run in the Premier League to 11 games overall.
Burnley will now be looking to post back-to-back wins for the first time this season when they play host to Liverpool at Turf Moor on Boxing Day but the omens are not looking promising for Sean Dyche's side as The Clarets have only picked up league wins on a sporadic basis so far this season, collecting victories over Luton Town, Sheffield United and Fulham while also slipping to 13 defeats within their 18 matches played to date.
Two of Burnley's three wins so far this season have actually been achieved away from home while a solitary 5-0 home win against Sheffield United has been Burnley's only real highlight at Turf Moor so far this term.
To make matters worse, Burnley have suffered 10 defeats within their last 11 home games in the Premier League but goals could feature here as eight of these 11 games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals.
Liverpool currently occupy second place in the Premier League table but although they were held to a 1-1 draw at home to Arsenal at Anfield on Saturday, The Reds still remain unbeaten in 11 matches overall and they will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways at Turf Moor on Boxing Day.
The mercurial Mo Salah notched his 12th goal of the season in the process and having registered six wins within this unbeaten spell of games, the merseyside club look the outstanding favourites to pick up all three points in Lancashire in this clash, especially as Jurgen Klopp's side have been handed just one defeat in their previous 29 matches overall in the top flight.
In addition, Liverpool have been dealt just the one loss in their previous 14 outings on their travels which includes seven wins in the process, while goals also look highly likely as nine of Liverpool's 14 away games have also produced three goals or more and as Burnley possess the second worst defensive record in the division, goals look the favourite ahead of this encounter.
Burnley v Liverpool Verdict
Liverpool have won the last two meetings on the trot against Burnley and The Reds are expected to be highly motivated to not only go all out for all three points but to also increase their goal difference against a susceptible Burnley defence as the visitors look to return to winning ways.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 3.5 goals @ 2.10
Other side bets worth considering:
Liverpool win & Over 3.5 goals @ 2.75
Correct Score: Liverpool 3-1 @ 12.00
#AD Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+ to wager
| A | Fulham | 0-2 |
| H | Everton | 0-2 |
| A | Brighton | 1-1 |
| A | Wolves | 1-0 |
| H | Sheff Utd | 5-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Arsenal | 1-1 |
| H | Man Utd | 0-0 |
| A | Crystal Palace | 1-2 |
| A | Sheff Utd | 0-2 |
| H | Fulham | 4-3 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||