Burnley v Brighton

Premier League, played Saturday, April 13th, 2024

Here is our Burnley v Brighton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Brighton away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Burnley vs Brighton Preview

Burnley's recent stubborn four-match unbeaten run in the Premier league was brought to a halt by Everton in a 1-0 defeat away from home at Goodison Park as former Burnley manager Sean Dyche grabbed the points over his former club, while Brighton were dealt a heavy 3-0 loss at home to title-chasing Arsenal at the AMEX Stadium so both sides will be keen to set the record straight here Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon.

Burnley had previously worked hard to give themselves an outside chance of staving off relegation from the top flight as Vincent Kompany's men had picked up points in draws with West Ham, Chelsea and Wolves along with a vital three-point haul in the form of a 2-1 home win against Brentford.

However, The Clarets still remain sitting second from bottom in the Premier League table where they trail fourth from bottom outfit Nottingham Forest and safety by a six-point margin with time fast running out for the Lancashire club.

The prospects of a home win here for Burnley look extremely slim as the hosts have managed to register just one win from their last 14 matches overall including slipping to eight defeats as well, but goals could make an appearance in this clash as seven of Burnley's last 10 games have resulted in Over 2.5 goals.

Brighton are in danger of losing their top half position in the Premier League table after The Seagulls were handed two defeats in their last three games by way of losses at the hands of Liverpool 2-1 away and the aforementioned 3-0 loss at home to Arsenal.

Following these recent losses, Brighton have dropped down the top flight table to a mid-table position of 10th place which is not a complete disaster but would be viewed as undoing their previous good work earlier in the season.

Indeed, Brighton have managed to collect just three wins from their last 12 matches overall with victories gained over arch-rivals Crystal Palace 4-1, Sheffield United 5-0 and a 1-0 win against Nottingham Forest but having also been dealt five defeats within these last 12 games, The Seagulls' chances of claiming all three points at Turf Moor on Saturday afternoon do seem to hang in the balance somewhat.

However, the goals market appeals here as seven of Brighton's last 10 matches overall have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals so therefore this market looks the most likely to produce the goods at Turf Moor this weekend.

Brentford v Sheffield United Verdict

Two of the previous three meetings between Burnley and Brighton have also produced three goals or more and with Burnley fighting for their Premier League lives, the goals option looks the best bet.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.61

Other side bets worth considering:

Brighton win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.87

Correct Score: Brighton 2-1 @ 9.50

TIP
Medium Wager on
Away Win
1-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
22%
Tie
33%
Away
45%
Voting Is Now Closed
BURNLEY V BRIGHTON HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
250
275
100
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-163
120
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-175
137
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-450
333
TIE NO BET
1
2
150
-200
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Burnley & BTTS Yes
500
Burnley & BTTS No
550
Brighton & BTTS Yes
275
Brighton & BTTS No
275
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
1200
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Burnley & Over 2.5
400
Burnley & Under 2.5
700
Brighton & Over 2.5
200
Brighton & Under 2.5
400
Tie & Over 2.5
1000
Tie & Under 2.5
400
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
1200
0-0
1200
0-1
900
2-0
1200
1-1
700
0-2
1100
2-1
1200
2-2
1400
1-2
850
3-0
4000
3-3
4000
0-3
2000
3-1
2800
1-3
1600
BURNLEY
BRIGHTON
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
W
T
T
L
LAST 5
L
W
L
T
L
BURNLEY
AEverton1-0
HWolves1-1
AChelsea2-2
HBrentford2-1
AWest Ham2-2
All ResultsHome Results
BRIGHTON
HArsenal0-3
ABrentford0-0
ALiverpool2-1
HNottingham Forest1-0
AFulham3-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
BURNLEY
BRIGHTON
POSITION
19th
POS
10th
PLAYED
32
PLAYED
31
WON
12%
4
WON
11
34%
Burnley are 3 games since a win
Brighton are 3 games since a win
TIED
22%
7
TIED
10
31%
Brighton have tied the most games in Premier League
LOST
66%
21
LOST
10
31%
Burnley have lost the most games in Premier League
SCORED
32
SCORED
51
Brighton have not scored in their last 2 games
Brighton have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 games
CONCEDED
67
CONCEDED
49
Burnley have conceded in their last 14 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
BURNLEY
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
WON
12%
2
WON
4
25%
Burnley have won the fewest home games in Premier League
Brighton are 3 games since an away win
TIED
19%
3
TIED
4
25%
LOST
69%
11
LOST
8
50%
Burnley have lost the most home games in Premier League
SCORED
16
SCORED
23
Burnley have scored the fewest goals at home in Premier League
Brighton have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
36
CONCEDED
30
Burnley have conceded in their last 8 home games
KEY STATS
BURNLEY
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
32
PLAYED
31
BTTS
56%
18
BTTS
22
71%
OVER 2.5
59%
19
OVER 2.5
20
65%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
29
OVER 1.5
27
87%
CORNERS
10.9
CORNERS
9.3
Brighton are best in Premier League for low corners games
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