Premier League, played Thursday, April 25th, 2024
Here is our Brighton v Man City tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Man City away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Brighton could only muster a point away from home at Premier League strugglers Burnley as The Seagulls were held to a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor which has resulted in Brighton remaining in a mid-table position at 10th place, while Manchester City edged past Chelsea in the semi-finals of the FA Cup at Wembley Stadium and the visitors know they have a chance to take over at the top of the Premier League table if other results go their way in midweek.
Brighton have now failed to win any of their last four matches overall in the Premier League which has seen the south coast side being held to draws by Brentford and Burnley but also slip to defeats at the hands of Liverpool and Arsenal, so the omens do not look particularly promising for Roberto de Zerbi's side for this upcoming clash against Manchester City.
Indeed, the bigger picture shows Brighton have managed to capture just three wins from their last 13 matches overall in the English top flight which have come in the form of victories against Crystal Palace, Sheffield United and Nottingham Forest respectively.
However, Brighton have also been handed five defeats in the process within these preceding 13 games so the prospects of The Seagulls producing a home win here looks very slim but goals could feature as six of their last 10 matches have resulted in Over 2.5 goals.
Manchester City booked their place in the final of this season's FA Cup after edging out Chelsea in a 1-0 win at Wembley Stadium where they'll meet their city rivals Manchester United but the matter of chasing the Premier League title will resume here at the AMEX Stadium on Thursday night where City will be seeking a fourth win on the trot in the Premier League.
Previous important wins against Aston Villa 4-1, Crystal Palace 4-2 and a resounding and comprehensive 5-1 thrashing of Luton Town have helped maintain Manchester City's challenge for another league title this season while the bigger picture shows Pep Guardiola's side are now unbeaten in their last 17 league matches overall.
In addition, Manchester City have collected six wins from their previous seven outings on the road in the top flight so the visitors look well placed to grab all three points down on the south coast on Thursday night.
The odds for an away win here though are understandably very low given Manchester City's sublime form in the Premier League but goals look set to feature as seven of City's last 10 away games have resulted in Over 2.5 goals.
Brighton v Manchester City Verdict
Goals certainly look the best option here as five of the last six meetings between Brighton and Manchester City have produced three goals or more.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.50
Other side bets worth considering:
Man City win & Over 3.5 goals @ 2.87
Correct Score: Manchester City 2-1 @ 9.00
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| A | Burnley | 1-1 |
| H | Arsenal | 0-3 |
| A | Brentford | 0-0 |
| A | Liverpool | 2-1 |
| H | Nottingham Forest | 1-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Luton | 5-1 |
| A | Crystal Palace | 2-4 |
| H | Aston Villa | 4-1 |
| H | Arsenal | 0-0 |
| A | Liverpool | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||