Premier League, played Saturday, May 11th, 2024
Here is our Bournemouth v Brentford tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a tie. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Bournemouth were unable to pick up a third league win on the trot in the Premier League last weekend as The Cherries were dealt a convincing 3-0 loss away from home at the league leaders, Arsenal, but that result was no disgrace as The Gunners are going head-to-head with Manchester City for the league title, while Brentford had to make do with a 0-0 draw at home against Fulham last Saturday but The Bees hold a 10-point cushion above the relegation zone with just two games remaining of the season.
Bournemouth had previously captured important wins against Wolves and Brighton in 1-0 and 3-0 victories respectively and although the south coast had struggled during a seven-game winless run in the Premier League from the end of December through to towards the end of February which included slipping to four defeats as well, Andoni Iraola's side have managed to turn things around in subsequent months.
Indeed, Bournemouth have now lost just three out of their last 11 games which were losses to Luton Town, Aston Villa and Arsenal (each of which were dealt to Bournemouth away from home) but The Cherries also collected six wins within this period as well, steering themselves to safety in the process.
Goals look likely as well, with eight of Bournemouth's last 10 games resulting in Over 2.5 goals.
Brentford gained a point by way of a 0-0 stalemate at home to Fulham last weekend but although the visitors have steered themselves to safety as they hold a 10-point cushion over third from bottom club Luton Town, The Bees' disappointing run of results in the Premier League has now extended to just two wins out of their last 13 matches overall.
Rare victories against Sheffield United and Luton Town have been outweighed by slipping to no fewer than six defeats within this dismal period of results, while the bigger picture shows Thomas Frank's side have managed to capture just four wins out of their last 22 games overall in the English top flight.
Having been dealt no fewer than 13 defeats within these previous 22 games, it may be best to look at the goals market where Brentford are concerned too, as 14 of these last 22 games have also produced three goals or more, while the ratio increases to seven out of Brentford's last 10 games resulting in Over 2.5 goals on the road.
Bournemouth v Brentford Verdict
Both Bournemouth and Brentford have been involved in a number of games that have included plenty of goals and this trend looks set to continue on Saturday afternoon as both sides have the freedom of knowing they're both safe from relegation this season so we should expect an open and attacking encounter.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.50
Other side bets worth considering:
Draw @ 3.80
Correct Score: 2-2 @ 12.00
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| A | Arsenal | 3-0 |
| H | Brighton | 3-0 |
| A | Wolves | 0-1 |
| A | Aston Villa | 3-1 |
| H | Man Utd | 2-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Fulham | 0-0 |
| A | Everton | 1-0 |
| A | Luton | 1-5 |
| H | Sheff Utd | 2-0 |
| A | Aston Villa | 3-3 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||