Aston Villa v Newcastle

Premier League, played Tuesday, January 30th, 2024

Here is our Aston Villa v Newcastle tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Aston Villa vs Newcastle Preview

Aston Villa were held to a disappointing 0-0 draw away from home at Premier League strugglers Everton last time out in the Premier League but nevertheless that point means Villa have now suffered just the one defeat out of their last 10 games overall, while Newcastle United were dealt a fourth league defeat on the trot in the English top flight with a 3-2 loss at home to second placed Manchester City, resulting in The Magpies sitting in a mid-table position of 10th place.

Within their last 10 games overall in the Premier League, Aston Villa have claimed six wins during this period which includes picking up four of these six victories on home soil at Villa Park with important wins registered against Fulham, Manchester City, Arsenal and Burnley respectively.

In addition, goals have also featured in Aston Villa's games in the top flight in recent times as six of Unai Emery's side's last 10 games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored while results at Villa Park have been excellent this term as Villa have won no fewer than nine of their 10 home games to date.

Seven of Aston Villa's 10 home games have also produced three goals or more as well.

Newcastle United's ambitions of pushing on from last season's excellent Premier League campaign which culminated in a top four finish and Champions League football have been left in tatters so far in this campaign as The Magpies occupy a disappointing 10th place in the Premier League table where they find themselves a significant 11 points adrift of fifth placed Tottenham.

Recent defeats to Luton Town, Nottingham Forest, Liverpool and Manchester City have resulted in Newcastle United's decline in the Premier League table and now the visitors will be lucky if they are to claim a European spot at all following these recent losses.

The bigger picture shows Newcastle United have claimed just three wins out of their last 10 games overall in the domestic top flight and interestingly, each of these three victories were gained on home soil at St James' Park with wins registered against Chelsea, Manchester United and Fulham.

Indeed, the majority of Newcastle United's success so far this season has been recorded at home but results overall have been very poor by comparison; The Magpies have lost six of their last seven matches and they have also managed to capture just one win within their 10 away games so far this season.

Goals look set to feature though as seven of Newcastle's 10 away games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals.

Aston Villa v Newcastle United Verdict

Goals have figured in each of the last four meetings between Aston Villa and Newcastle United as the last four encounters have produced three goals or more.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.53

Other side bets worth considering:

Aston Villa win @ 1.90

Correct Score: Aston Villa 3-0 @ 19.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
56%
Tie
30%
Away
14%
Voting Is Now Closed
ASTON VILLA V NEWCASTLE HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-118
300
280
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-188
137
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-175
135
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-600
400
TIE NO BET
1
2
-250
175
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Aston Villa & BTTS Yes
220
Aston Villa & BTTS No
275
Newcastle & BTTS Yes
500
Newcastle & BTTS No
700
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
1600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Aston Villa & Over 3.5
300
Aston Villa & Under 3.5
200
Newcastle & Over 3.5
850
Newcastle & Under 3.5
450
Tie & Over 3.5
900
Tie & Under 3.5
500
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
1100
0-0
1800
0-1
1800
2-0
1100
1-1
800
0-2
2500
2-1
850
2-2
1200
1-2
1400
3-0
1800
3-3
4000
0-3
4000
3-1
1400
1-3
2800
ASTON VILLA
NEWCASTLE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
T
L
W
T
LAST 5
W
L
L
L
L
ASTON VILLA
AEverton0-0
HBurnley3-2
AMan Utd3-2
HSheff Utd1-1
ABrentford1-2
All ResultsHome Results
NEWCASTLE
HMan City2-3
ALiverpool4-2
HNottingham Forest1-3
ALuton1-0
HFulham3-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ASTON VILLA
NEWCASTLE
POSITION
4th
POS
10th
PLAYED
21
PLAYED
21
WON
62%
13
WON
9
43%
Newcastle are 4 games since a win
TIED
19%
4
TIED
2
10%
Newcastle have tied the fewest games in Premier League
Newcastle are 11 games since a tie
LOST
19%
4
LOST
10
48%
Newcastle have lost 4 games in a row
SCORED
43
SCORED
41
Newcastle have scored in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
27
CONCEDED
32
Newcastle have conceded in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ASTON VILLA
NEWCASTLE
PLAYED
10
PLAYED
10
WON
90%
9
WON
1
10%
Aston Villa have won the most home games in Premier League
Newcastle are 7 games since an away win
TIED
10%
1
TIED
2
20%
Newcastle are 5 games since an away tie
LOST
0%
0
LOST
7
70%
Aston Villa have lost the fewest home games in Premier League
Newcastle have lost 5 away games in a row
SCORED
29
SCORED
16
Aston Villa have scored the most goals at home in Premier League
Aston Villa have scored in all home games this season
CONCEDED
8
CONCEDED
22
Aston Villa have conceded the fewest goals at home in Premier League
Newcastle have conceded in their last 7 away games
KEY STATS
ASTON VILLA
NEWCASTLE
PLAYED
21
PLAYED
21
BTTS
67%
14
BTTS
10
48%
OVER 2.5
67%
14
OVER 2.5
14
67%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
17
OVER 1.5
16
76%
CORNERS
9.8
CORNERS
9.1
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