Premier League, played Tuesday, January 30th, 2024
Here is our Aston Villa v Newcastle tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Aston Villa were held to a disappointing 0-0 draw away from home at Premier League strugglers Everton last time out in the Premier League but nevertheless that point means Villa have now suffered just the one defeat out of their last 10 games overall, while Newcastle United were dealt a fourth league defeat on the trot in the English top flight with a 3-2 loss at home to second placed Manchester City, resulting in The Magpies sitting in a mid-table position of 10th place.
Within their last 10 games overall in the Premier League, Aston Villa have claimed six wins during this period which includes picking up four of these six victories on home soil at Villa Park with important wins registered against Fulham, Manchester City, Arsenal and Burnley respectively.
In addition, goals have also featured in Aston Villa's games in the top flight in recent times as six of Unai Emery's side's last 10 games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored while results at Villa Park have been excellent this term as Villa have won no fewer than nine of their 10 home games to date.
Seven of Aston Villa's 10 home games have also produced three goals or more as well.
Newcastle United's ambitions of pushing on from last season's excellent Premier League campaign which culminated in a top four finish and Champions League football have been left in tatters so far in this campaign as The Magpies occupy a disappointing 10th place in the Premier League table where they find themselves a significant 11 points adrift of fifth placed Tottenham.
Recent defeats to Luton Town, Nottingham Forest, Liverpool and Manchester City have resulted in Newcastle United's decline in the Premier League table and now the visitors will be lucky if they are to claim a European spot at all following these recent losses.
The bigger picture shows Newcastle United have claimed just three wins out of their last 10 games overall in the domestic top flight and interestingly, each of these three victories were gained on home soil at St James' Park with wins registered against Chelsea, Manchester United and Fulham.
Indeed, the majority of Newcastle United's success so far this season has been recorded at home but results overall have been very poor by comparison; The Magpies have lost six of their last seven matches and they have also managed to capture just one win within their 10 away games so far this season.
Goals look set to feature though as seven of Newcastle's 10 away games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals.
Aston Villa v Newcastle United Verdict
Goals have figured in each of the last four meetings between Aston Villa and Newcastle United as the last four encounters have produced three goals or more.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.53
Other side bets worth considering:
Aston Villa win @ 1.90
Correct Score: Aston Villa 3-0 @ 19.00
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| A | Everton | 0-0 |
| H | Burnley | 3-2 |
| A | Man Utd | 3-2 |
| H | Sheff Utd | 1-1 |
| A | Brentford | 1-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Man City | 2-3 |
| A | Liverpool | 4-2 |
| H | Nottingham Forest | 1-3 |
| A | Luton | 1-0 |
| H | Fulham | 3-0 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||