Premier League, played Wednesday, December 6th, 2023
Here is our Aston Villa v Man City tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Man City away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Although Aston Villa were held to a 2-2 draw away from home at Bournemouth the result could have been even worse for the west midlands club had it not been for a 90th minute equaliser by Ollie Watkins to save Villa's blushes and also helped Villa maintain their place in the top four of the Premier League, while Manchester City were also involved in a high-scoring 3-3 draw at home with Tottenham in what was a cracker of a spectacle.
Aston Villa extended their unbeaten run in the domestic top flight to three games which also includes previous wins collected against Fulham and Tottenham and having been handed just the single defeat out of their last 10 matches overall in the English top flight, Unai Emery's side will still feel confident about their chances here on Wednesday night.
During this solid 10-match sequence, Villa have managed to capture seven wins in the process, five of which have been registered on home soil at Villa Park as the hosts have collected important wins against Crystal Palace, Brighton, West Ham, Luton Town and Fulham respectively which will give the hosts plenty of confidence for this upcoming encounter.
The bigger picture shows Aston Villa have been absolutely dominant on home soil as well in the Premier League as the west midlands club have now won their last 13 home games on the trot.
Manchester City seemed to be heading for another three points on Sunday against Tottenham as The Citizens were 3-2 up with just stoppage time remaining but Spurs kept plugging away and Dejan Kulesevski popped up with a late equaliser to give Tottenham a valuable point.
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola will view this result as two points dropped though from a winning position and the Spaniard will no doubt be demanding a much more clinical and ruthless performance from his side at Villa Park on Wednesday night.
That's now three stalemates on the trot for the current title-holders who had previously shared the points in draws with Chelsea 4-4 and a 1-1 draw with Liverpool in what has been a testing schedule in recent times for the visitors.
Nevertheless, that recent draw now makes it six games unbeaten for Manchester City who have been handed just two defeats so far in this campaign, both of which were away from home at Wolves and Arsenal but the bigger picture shows just three defeats in City's previous 16 outings on the road.
Aston Villa v Manchester City Verdict
Previous history suggests Manchester City will be too strong for Aston Villa here though on Wednesday night as the visitors have won 10 out of the last 11 meetings against their hosts.
Therefore, our main bet will be Manchester City win @ 1.75
Other side bets worth considering:
Manchester City win & Under 3.5 goals @ 3.10
Correct Score: Manchester City 1-0 @ 12.00
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| A | Bournemouth | 2-2 |
| A | Tottenham | 1-2 |
| H | Fulham | 3-1 |
| A | Nottingham Forest | 2-0 |
| H | Luton | 3-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Tottenham | 3-3 |
| H | Liverpool | 1-1 |
| A | Chelsea | 4-4 |
| H | Bournemouth | 6-1 |
| A | Man Utd | 0-3 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||