Premier League, played Saturday, December 30th, 2023
Here is our Aston Villa v Burnley tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Aston Villa's impressive and solid looking seven-match unbeaten run in the Premier League came to an abrupt halt on Boxing Day when they were handed a 3-2 defeat away from home against Manchester United while Burnley also slipped to defeat on Boxing Day when The Clarets lost 2-0 at home to Liverpool.
Aston Villa still remain in third spot in the Premier League table despite that recent defeat but the west midlands side must still be wondering how they managed to let a two-goal advantage slip at Old Trafford ahead of this upcoming clash against strugglers, Burnley, so Unai Emery's side are expected to set the record straight at Villa Park on Saturday.
Villa had previously racked up five wins within their last seven matches beforehand which included wins against Fulham, Tottenham, Manchester City, Arsenal and Brentford respectively, so the hosts will still feel supremely confident about their chances of bouncing back with a win here.
In addition, Aston Villa have yet to taste defeat at Villa Park so far in this season's top flight campaign having picked up eight wins and a draw within their nine home games to date, while the bigger picture shows The Villains are now unbeaten in their previous 16 home games, collecting no fewer than 15 wins in the process.
Burnley's delight at picking up all three points with a 2-0 victory away from home at Fulham proved to be short-lived as Vincent Kompany's side immediately returned to type with a 2-0 loss at home to Liverpool which became The Clarets' 14th defeat within their total of 19 games played to date this season.
Burnley registered a resounding and comprehensive 5-0 thrashing of fellow promoted side, Sheffield United, at the start of December but league wins have been few and far between for the Lancashire club this season and the visitors still find themselves five points adrift of safety ahead of this tough looking trip to the west midlands on Saturday.
The one glimmer of hope though for Burnley is that they have collected more points on the road than on home soil at Turf Moor so far this season as the visitors have picked up eight of their total of 11 points on their travels, so they'll be hoping this trend can continue against Aston Villa in this encounter.
Aston Villa v Burnley Verdict
Aston Villa have lost just once in their last seven meetings against Burnley in previous exchanges against the Lancashire outfit but Unai Emery's side have been irrepressible on home soil at Villa Park since his arrival and the momentum built at home should only result in a home win here for The Villains.
A win and a clean sheet looks to be on the cards for Aston Villa in this one.
Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS No @ 1.95
Other side bets worth considering:
Aston Villa win & BTTS No @ 2.37
Correct Score: Aston Villa 2-0 @ 8.00
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| A | Man Utd | 3-2 |
| H | Sheff Utd | 1-1 |
| A | Brentford | 1-2 |
| H | Arsenal | 1-0 |
| H | Man City | 1-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Liverpool | 0-2 |
| A | Fulham | 0-2 |
| H | Everton | 0-2 |
| A | Brighton | 1-1 |
| A | Wolves | 1-0 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||