Premier League, played Monday, December 30th, 2024
Here is our Aston Villa v Brighton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Aston Villa's inconsistent results in the Premier League continued on Boxing Day when The Villans were handed a heavy 3-0 loss away from home at Newcastle United which became a second defeat in three games for Unai Emery's side leaving Villa in ninth place in the English top flight table.
Brighton's winless run in the domestic top flight was extended to six games following a dour 0-0 stalemate at home with Brentford on Friday night and The Seagulls now have to make their way to the west midlands for Monday night's clash with Aston Villa.
Despite dropping down the Premier League to ninth place, Aston Villa still only trail the top five pack and the European spots by a single point and given Brighton's recent winless sequence in the top flight, Unai Emery's side will be confident that they can bounce back from their recent losses on the road when they return to Villa Park on Monday night.
Although they lost at both Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United away from home, Aston Villa have racked up wins in each of their last three home games with important victories gained over the likes of Brentford, Southampton and Manchester City which have kept the west midlands hosts in the frame for a possible European spot.
Brighton have now failed to win any of their last six games overall in the English top flight having drawn four and lost twice; points picked up in draws with Southampton, Leicester City, West Ham and Brentford have been overshadowed by losses at the hands of Fulham and Crystal Palace.
The bigger picture shows the south coast visitors have managed to capture just four wins from their previous 16 matches overall which consist of wins against Tottenham, Newcastle United, Manchester City and Bournemouth but also includes eight draws and four defeats as well.
The Seagulls had previously started this Premier League campaign with back-to-back wins against Everton and Manchester United respectively but inconsistent results away from home have undone Brighton's solid performances on home soil at the AMEX Stadium which has seen them lose just once at home all season.
Indeed, Brighton's form away from home so far in this season's Premier League campaign has yielded three wins, three draws but also three defeats, so therefore the prospects of an away win at Villa Park may hang in the balance somewhat.
Aston Villa v Brighton Verdict
Although both teams head into this clash on the back of some ordinary results, previous history between Aston Villa and Brighton has shown Villa have held the upper hand over their upcoming south coast visitors having picked up five wins out of the last seven encounters and the hosts look the more likely here as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Aston Villa win @ 1.95
Other side bets worth considering:
Aston Villa win & Under 2.5 goals @ 6.00 Correct Score: Aston Villa 2-0 @ 12.00
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| A | Newcastle | 3-0 |
| H | Man City | 2-1 |
| A | Nottingham Forest | 2-1 |
| H | Southampton | 1-0 |
| H | Brentford | 3-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Brentford | 0-0 |
| A | West Ham | 1-1 |
| H | Crystal Palace | 1-3 |
| A | Leicester | 2-2 |
| A | Fulham | 3-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||