Aston Villa v Brighton

Premier League, played Saturday, September 30th, 2023

Here is our Aston Villa v Brighton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Aston Villa vs Brighton Preview

The Saturday lunchtime kick-off features this tasty looking fixture between Aston Villa and Brighton at Villa Park with both sides sitting in the top six of the early Premier League standings and both teams in fine form heading into this clash.

Having picked up two wins on the trot immediately after the international break, Aston Villa have climbed up into sixth place where they trail upcoming visitors, Brighton, by just a three-point margin and recent wins against Crystal Palace and most impressive of all, a 1-0 win away at Stamford Bridge over big-spending Chelsea, underline Villa's threat heading into this weekend's action.

A sustained impressive sequence of results have once again lifted Unai Emery's side into possible early contention for another European appearance for next season and the bigger picture shows that the west midlands club have lost just twice in their previous nine games in the English top flight, both of which were away from home.

On home soil at Villa Park, the hosts have racked up a staggering nine wins on the trot which includes a 2-1 victory over upcoming visitors, Brighton, in their last meeting towards the end of last season's Premier League campaign.

Brighton continue to go from strength to strength under Italian manager Roberto de Zerbi as The Seagulls collected a third league win on the trot in the Premier League on Sunday against south-coast rivals, Bournemouth, with a 3-1 win at their AMEX Stadium which followed previous victories against the likes of Newcastle United and Manchester United.

The visitors have now won five of their last six matches in the English top flight so they too will be in confident mood ahead of this lunchtime encounter at Villa Park but although The Seagulls have been impressive so far this season in the early stages of the new term, they have had a few problems on the road in recent times.

Four wins and four defeats suggest Brighton are a 50/50 chance at producing a positive result here in the west midlands on Saturday and despite recording good wins at Chelsea, Arsenal, Wolves and Manchester United, defeats at Tottenham, Nottingham Forest, Newcastle United and Aston Villa perhaps throws doubt upon Brighton's chances again at Villa Park.

Aston Villa v Brighton Verdict

Aston Villa have kept six clean sheets within their nine-game winning streak at Villa Park and their solid defensive unit could well be the difference between two sides that enjoy going forward and producing attacking football.

Indeed, it's been Aston Villa who have held the upper hand over Brighton in previous exchanges as the hosts are unbeaten in the last six meetings and having won four of these six games, Villa might hold the edge again, while nine of the last 10 meetings have resulted in Under 3.5 goals scored.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 3.5 goals @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

Aston Villa win & Under 3.5 goals @ 4.33

Correct score: Aston Villa 2-0 @ 19.00

TIP
Small Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
37%
Tie
35%
Away
28%
Voting Is Now Closed
ASTON VILLA V BRIGHTON HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
155
275
155
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-250
175
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-200
162
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-800
500
TIE NO BET
1
2
-120
-120
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Aston Villa & BTTS Yes
275
Aston Villa & BTTS No
500
Brighton & BTTS Yes
275
Brighton & BTTS No
500
Tie & BTTS Yes
300
Tie & BTTS No
2000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Aston Villa & Over 3.5
400
Aston Villa & Under 3.5
333
Brighton & Over 3.5
400
Brighton & Under 3.5
333
Tie & Over 3.5
650
Tie & Under 3.5
500
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
1600
0-0
2000
0-1
1600
2-0
1600
1-1
750
0-2
1800
2-1
1100
2-2
1000
1-2
1000
3-0
2800
3-3
2800
0-3
2800
3-1
1800
1-3
1800
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
L
W
L
W
LAST 5
L
W
W
L
W
ASTON VILLA
AChelsea0-1
ALegia Warsaw3-2
HCrystal Palace3-1
ALiverpool3-0
HHibernian3-0
All ResultsHome Results
BRIGHTON
HBournemouth3-1
HAEK Athens2-3
AMan Utd1-3
HNewcastle3-1
HWest Ham1-3
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
POSITION
6th
POS
3rd
PLAYED
6
PLAYED
6
WON
67%
4
WON
5
83%
Brighton have won 3 games in a row
TIED
0%
0
TIED
0
0%
Aston Villa have tied the fewest games in Premier League
Brighton have tied the fewest games in Premier League
Aston Villa have not tied a game this season
Brighton have not tied a game this season
LOST
33%
2
LOST
1
17%
Brighton are 3 games since a loss
SCORED
12
SCORED
18
Brighton have scored the most goals in Premier League
Brighton have scored in all games this season
CONCEDED
10
CONCEDED
8
Brighton have conceded in all games this season
Brighton have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
2
PLAYED
2
WON
100%
2
WON
2
100%
TIED
0%
0
TIED
0
0%
Aston Villa have tied the fewest home games in Premier League
Brighton have tied the fewest away games in Premier League
LOST
0%
0
LOST
0
0%
Aston Villa have lost the fewest home games in Premier League
Brighton have lost the fewest away games in Premier League
SCORED
7
SCORED
7
CONCEDED
1
CONCEDED
2
Aston Villa have conceded the fewest goals at home in Premier League
KEY STATS
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
6
PLAYED
6
BTTS
50%
3
BTTS
6
100%
Brighton are best in Premier League for both teams to score games
OVER 2.5
83%
5
OVER 2.5
6
100%
Brighton are best in Premier League for over 2.5 goals games
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
5
OVER 1.5
6
100%
Brighton are best in Premier League for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8.3
CORNERS
9.8
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