FA Cup, played Tuesday, February 27th, 2024
Here is our Luton v Man City tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Man City away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Luton Town have been plunged back into the relegation mire in the Premier League following three defeats on the trot and Saturday's loss to Liverpool away from home at Anfield was a particularly heavy 4-1 defeat, while Manchester City did just enough to capture an important 1-0 win down on the south coast away at Bournemouth as Pep Guardiola's side extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to an impressive 17 games overall.
Previous losses to relegation rivals Sheffield United 3-1 and Manchester United 2-1 were both inflicted upon Rob Edwards' side on home soil at Kenilworth Road which doesn't provide much confidence that The Hatters can turn things around against high-flying Manchester City in this 5th round FA Cup tie on Tuesday night despite holding home advantage and against a City outfit whose squad are likely to have been rotated by manager Pep Guardiola.
The bigger picture shows Luton Town have managed to register just three wins out of their last 10 matches in all competitions which consist of victories gained over Bolton Wanderers 2-1 away from home in the 3rd round of this competition along with a 4th round 2-1 win at Goodison Park against Everton, while also recording a 4-0 rout of Brighton at home in the Premier League.
Manchester City continued their relentless pursuit of clinching another Premier League title on the weekend with a 1-0 win away from home at Bournemouth and although the scoreline wasn't as comprehensive as many had anticipated, nevertheless the visitors extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to 17 games which has helped lift City to within a point of the Premier League leaders, Liverpool.
Having won 15 of these previous 17 games overall, Manchester City are justifiably overwhelming favourites to gain the upper hand at Kenilworth Road once again on Tuesday night where Pep's side gained a 2-1 win earlier in the Premier League season back in mid-December.
Goals are more than likely coming along for the ride as well in this upcoming FA Cup clash as no fewer than 11 of Manchester City's last 17 games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals while City have also won their last nine away games on the trot in all competitions as well, thus making a strong case for the visitors to continue their progress into the next round of this competition on Tuesday night.
Luton Town v Manchester City Verdict
Manchester City will be keen to continue their momentum against a hard-working Luton Town outfit here in this 5th round tie and goals also look likely as six of City's last nine away games have also resulted in four goals or more being scored.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.53
Other side bets worth considering:
Manchester City win & Over 3.5 goals @ 2.75
Correct Score: Manchester City 3-1 @ 11.00
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| A | Liverpool | 4-1 |
| H | Man Utd | 1-2 |
| H | Sheff Utd | 1-3 |
| A | Newcastle | 4-4 |
| H | Brighton | 4-0 |
| A | Bournemouth | 0-1 |
| H | Brentford | 1-0 |
| H | Chelsea | 1-1 |
| A | FC Copenhagen | 1-3 |
| H | Everton | 2-0 |