West Brom v Burnley

Championship, played Thursday, November 7th, 2024

Here is our West Brom v Burnley tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Burnley away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

West Brom vs Burnley Preview

West Brom will be desperate to break a run of seven games without a win in the Championship after two defeats and then five draws on the trot, while Burnley will be eager to return to winning ways following their disappointing 1-0 defeat away from home at Millwall on Sunday afternoon.

Back-to-back losses against Sheffield Wednesday and Middlesbrough have been followed by no fewer than five stalemates on the trot and this has resulted in The Baggies dropping down to sixth place in the Championship table.

The west midlands hosts had previously produced a promising start to this Championship campaign as West Brom put together a solid and commanding six-match unbeaten sequence which consisted of picking up five wins and a draw.

Interestingly, three of these early season five wins were actually achieved away from home at QPR, Stoke City and Portsmouth respectively, but recent results on home soil at The Hawthorns have seen The Baggies collect just two wins in their previous seven home games.

Victories against Swansea City and Plymouth Argyle have been nullified by four draws and a defeat to Middlesbrough, while goals have been in short supply as no fewer than nine of West Brom's last 10 home games have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Burnley dropped down to fourth place in the Championship table after being dealt a 1-0 defeat in the nation's capital on Sunday by way of defeat away at Millwall but although The Clarets hit the road again on Thursday night to make their way to The Hawthorns, the Lancashire club have suffered just the single loss in their last 10 matches overall.

Four wins and five draws have kept Burnley in the race for possible automatic promotion and all three points in the west midlands on Thursday night along with other results going their way could see Scott Parker's side move as high as second place in the Championship table.

The visitors have been handed just two defeats so far in this season's second tier campaign, the other loss being a 1-0 defeat away from home at high-flying Sunderland while goals have been a scarce commodity where Burnley have been concerned as well.

Indeed, no fewer than nine out of Burnley's last 10 games in the Championship have resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored and this does not bode well for an entertaining and high-scoring fixture away from home against West Brom either!

West Brom v Burnley Verdict

Goals have been few and far between in previous encounters between West Brom and Burnley as four out of the last six meetings have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals and another low-scoring fixture looks set to be on the cards at The Hawthorns on Thursday night as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.57

Other side bets worth considering:

Burnley win @ 3.25

Correct Score: Burnley win & Under 2.5 goals @ 5.50

TIP
Medium Wager on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
24%
Tie
29%
Away
47%
Voting Is Now Closed
WEST BROM V BURNLEY HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
140
210
200
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-138
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
130
-163
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-225
175
TIE NO BET
1
2
-150
110
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
West Brom & BTTS Yes
450
West Brom & BTTS No
275
Burnley & BTTS Yes
600
Burnley & BTTS No
350
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
650
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
West Brom & Over 2.5
350
West Brom & Under 2.5
350
Burnley & Over 2.5
500
Burnley & Under 2.5
450
Tie & Over 2.5
1400
Tie & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
550
0-0
650
0-1
700
2-0
550
1-1
500
0-2
1200
2-1
900
2-2
1600
1-2
1100
3-0
2200
3-3
6600
0-3
3300
3-1
2000
1-3
2800
WEST BROM
BURNLEY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
T
T
T
T
LAST 5
T
W
T
T
L
WEST BROM
ALuton1-1
HCardiff0-0
ABlackburn0-0
AOxford Utd1-1
HMillwall0-0
All ResultsHome Results
BURNLEY
AMillwall1-0
HQPR0-0
AHull1-1
ASheffield Wednesday0-2
HPreston0-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
WEST BROM
BURNLEY
POSITION
7th
POS
4th
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
WON
38%
5
WON
6
46%
West Brom are 7 games since a win
Burnley are 3 games since a win
TIED
46%
6
TIED
5
38%
West Brom have tied 5 games in a row
LOST
15%
2
LOST
2
15%
West Brom have lost the fewest games in Championship
Burnley have lost the fewest games in Championship
West Brom are 5 games since a loss
SCORED
14
SCORED
17
Burnley have not scored in their last 2 games
West Brom have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 games
Burnley have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
8
CONCEDED
6
Burnley have conceded the fewest goals in Championship
West Brom have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 6 games
Burnley have not conceded 2 or more goals in a game this season
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
WEST BROM
BURNLEY
PLAYED
6
PLAYED
7
WON
33%
2
WON
3
43%
West Brom are 3 games since a home win
TIED
50%
3
TIED
2
29%
LOST
17%
1
LOST
2
29%
SCORED
2
SCORED
8
West Brom have scored the fewest goals at home in Championship
West Brom have not scored in their last 3 home games
West Brom have not scored 2 or more in a home game this season
CONCEDED
1
CONCEDED
4
West Brom have conceded the fewest goals at home in Championship
Burnley have conceded the fewest away goals in Championship
West Brom have not conceded 2 or more goals in a home game this season
Burnley have not conceded 2 or more goals in an away game this season
KEY STATS
WEST BROM
BURNLEY
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
BTTS
38%
5
BTTS
4
31%
OVER 2.5
31%
4
OVER 2.5
3
23%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
46%
6
OVER 1.5
6
46%
CORNERS
9.6
CORNERS
8.5
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