Southampton v Stoke

Championship, played Saturday, April 27th, 2024

Here is our Southampton v Stoke tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Southampton home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Southampton vs Stoke Preview

Southampton's hopes of nicking the second automatic promotion spot in the Championship have all but evaporated in recent games following back-to-back defeats at the hands of Cardiff City and Leicester City, the latter being a particularly heavy 5-0 thrashing to The Foxes at the King Power Stadium, while Stoke City boosted their survival hopes in the Championship last weekend with a 3-0 home win against Plymouth Argyle.

Southampton now need to win both of their remaining two games and hope Leeds United slip up in order for the south coast club to have even an outside chance of achieving automatic promotion and this upcoming clash with Stoke City along with what could prove to be a pivotal final game of the season away at Leeds United will determine Southampton's fate.

The Saints had previously posted three wins on the trot in the English second tier with vital wins registered against Coventry City, Watford and Preston NE in 2-1, 3-2 and 3-0 victories respectively which had seemingly set Southampton's promotion push back on course.

Each of these three aforementioned wins were achieved on home soil at their St Mary's Stadium where the south coast club have lost just twice in their last 18 games along with collecting no fewer than 14 wins along the way.

Stoke City helped relieve some pressure in their battle against possible relegation with a comprehensive 3-0 home win against Plymouth Argyle but with two games remaining and just four points above the bottom three clubs, The Potters still have some work to do and they face a tough assignment in this upcoming trip to face high-flying Southampton on Saturday.

League wins have been achieved on a sporadic rather than on a regular basis where Stoke City have been concerned as the visitors have managed to capture just five wins out of their last 17 games overall in the Championship and having won three of these five wins on home soil at their bet365 Stadium, Stoke City's prospects of claiming a win on the road at Southampton seem slim at best.

Indeed, Stoke City have recorded just two wins from their last eight outings on the road which were at Preston NE and Hull City but The Potters have also slipped to five defeats in the process as well with four of these five losses seeing Stoke concede two goals or more which does not bode well for this trip down to the south coast.

Southampton v Stoke City Verdict

In what is Southampton's last home game of this Championship campaign, the hosts will be desperate to pick up all three points here against an ordinary looking Stoke City outfit on the road, especially as Southampton boast an impressive home record.

Therefore, our main bet will be Southampton win @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

Southampton win & Under 3.5 goals @ 3.00

Correct Score: Southampton 2-0 @ 10.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
56%
Tie
30%
Away
14%
Voting Is Now Closed
SOUTHAMPTON V STOKE HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-133
333
300
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-188
137
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-225
175
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-600
400
TIE NO BET
1
2
-275
200
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Southampton & BTTS Yes
200
Southampton & BTTS No
275
Stoke & BTTS Yes
500
Stoke & BTTS No
800
Tie & BTTS Yes
400
Tie & BTTS No
2000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Southampton & Over 3.5
260
Southampton & Under 3.5
200
Stoke & Over 3.5
850
Stoke & Under 3.5
450
Tie & Over 3.5
900
Tie & Under 3.5
550
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
1000
0-0
2000
0-1
1600
2-0
1000
1-1
800
0-2
2200
2-1
750
2-2
1200
1-2
1200
3-0
1400
3-3
4000
0-3
4000
3-1
1100
1-3
2500
SOUTHAMPTON
STOKE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
W
L
L
LAST 5
T
T
L
T
W
SOUTHAMPTON
ALeicester5-0
ACardiff2-1
HPreston3-0
HWatford3-2
HCoventry2-1
All ResultsHome Results
STOKE
HPlymouth3-0
ASheffield Wednesday1-1
ASwansea3-0
HWest Brom2-2
HHuddersfield1-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SOUTHAMPTON
STOKE
POSITION
4th
POS
18th
PLAYED
44
PLAYED
44
WON
57%
25
WON
13
30%
TIED
20%
9
TIED
11
25%
Southampton are 5 games since a tie
LOST
23%
10
LOST
20
45%
SCORED
85
SCORED
44
CONCEDED
61
CONCEDED
60
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SOUTHAMPTON
STOKE
PLAYED
22
PLAYED
22
WON
68%
15
WON
6
27%
Southampton have won 3 home games in a row
TIED
14%
3
TIED
5
23%
Southampton are 3 games since a home tie
LOST
18%
4
LOST
11
50%
SCORED
54
SCORED
24
Southampton have scored in their last 18 home games
CONCEDED
28
CONCEDED
33
KEY STATS
SOUTHAMPTON
STOKE
PLAYED
44
PLAYED
44
BTTS
66%
29
BTTS
19
43%
Southampton are best in Championship for both teams to score games
OVER 2.5
66%
29
OVER 2.5
19
43%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
38
OVER 1.5
30
68%
Southampton are best in Championship for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
11.1
CORNERS
10.6
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