Southampton v Middlesbrough

Championship, played Friday, March 29th, 2024

Here is our Southampton v Middlesbrough tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a tie. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Preview

Southampton captured a vital second win on the trot in the Championship to head into the international break sitting in fourth place following a 4-2 home win against Sunderland but a recent flurry of unexpected defeats for the south coast club means the hosts may have to settle for a play-off spot instead, while Middlesbrough extended their unbeaten run in the Championship to four games after being held to a 0-0 draw at home to Blackburn Rovers last time out.

Despite picking up back-to-back wins in recent weeks including a previous entertaining 4-3 victory away at Birmingham City, three defeats in quick succession beforehand have now placed Southampton's bid for automatic promotion in serious doubt as The Saints now trail the top two teams by a significant nine-point margin following recent disappointing defeats at the hands of Bristol City, Hull City and Millwall.

To make matters worse, Russell Martin's side lost all three of these games on home soil at their St Mary's Stadium so the prospects of a home win here against Middlesbrough are not so rosy as they would have been about a month ago.

However, we should expect a few goals to unfold here on Good Friday as eight of Southampton's last 10 games overall in the Championship have resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored.

Middlesbrough are making another late bid for a play-off spot in this season's Championship campaign as Michael Carrick's side have put together a four-match unbeaten run which consists of three wins and a draw which will give the north-east visitors plenty of confidence as they prepare for this trip down to the south coast to take on Southampton.

Recent wins against Norwich City, QPR and Birmingham City have kept Boro in the frame for an outside chance of a possible top six finish this season as they trail sixth placed Norwich City by a seven-point margin ahead of this Easter schedule in the English second tier.

However, before we get too carried away with Middlesbrough's recent resurgence, it should be noted that Boro had previously managed to pick up just the one win from their preceding seven games beforehand which came in the shape of a 2-1 win away from home at Leicester City but they had also slipped to four defeats within this period as well.

Middlesbrough have produced some encouraging results away from home though in recent times as Boro have won five out of their last seven outings on the road whilst goals could also feature as six of Boro's last 10 away games have also produced three goals or more.

Southampton v Middlesbrough Verdict

Goals could indeed figure in this Good Friday clash as seven of the last eight meetings have resulted in Over 2.5 goals.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.50

Other side bets worth considering:

Draw @ 4.33

Correct Score: 2-2 @ 15.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Tie
2-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
25%
Tie
45%
Away
30%
Voting Is Now Closed
SOUTHAMPTON V MIDDLESBROUGH HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-182
375
425
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-188
137
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-275
210
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-800
500
TIE NO BET
1
2
-450
300
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Southampton & BTTS Yes
162
Southampton & BTTS No
225
Middlesbrough & BTTS Yes
650
Middlesbrough & BTTS No
1000
Tie & BTTS Yes
400
Tie & BTTS No
2000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Southampton & Over 3.5
200
Southampton & Under 3.5
187
Middlesbrough & Over 3.5
1200
Middlesbrough & Under 3.5
650
Tie & Over 3.5
900
Tie & Under 3.5
600
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
900
0-0
1800
0-1
1800
2-0
900
1-1
800
0-2
2800
2-1
750
2-2
1400
1-2
1600
3-0
1100
3-3
4000
0-3
5000
3-1
1000
1-3
3300
SOUTHAMPTON
MIDDLESBROUGH
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
L
L
W
W
LAST 5
L
W
W
W
T
SOUTHAMPTON
HSunderland4-2
ABirmingham3-4
HMillwall1-2
HHull1-2
AWest Brom0-2
All ResultsHome Results
MIDDLESBROUGH
HBlackburn0-0
ABirmingham0-1
AQPR0-2
HNorwich3-1
AStoke2-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SOUTHAMPTON
MIDDLESBROUGH
POSITION
4th
POS
10th
PLAYED
36
PLAYED
38
WON
61%
22
WON
16
44%
TIED
19%
7
TIED
6
17%
Southampton are 10 games since a tie
LOST
19%
7
LOST
16
44%
Middlesbrough are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
73
SCORED
53
Southampton have scored in their last 29 games
CONCEDED
47
CONCEDED
52
Southampton have conceded in their last 4 games
Middlesbrough have achieved a shutout in their last 3 games
Middlesbrough have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SOUTHAMPTON
MIDDLESBROUGH
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
19
WON
67%
12
WON
9
47%
TIED
11%
2
TIED
2
11%
Southampton are 12 games since a home tie
Middlesbrough are 11 games since an away tie
LOST
22%
4
LOST
8
42%
SCORED
45
SCORED
33
Southampton have scored in their last 14 home games
CONCEDED
24
CONCEDED
31
Southampton have conceded in their last 4 home games
KEY STATS
SOUTHAMPTON
MIDDLESBROUGH
PLAYED
36
PLAYED
38
BTTS
67%
24
BTTS
21
55%
Southampton are best in Championship for both teams to score games
OVER 2.5
64%
23
OVER 2.5
20
53%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
31
OVER 1.5
31
82%
Southampton are best in Championship for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
11.9
CORNERS
10.7
Southampton are best in Championship for high corners games
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