Middlesbrough v Derby

Championship, played Saturday, March 1st, 2025

Here is our Middlesbrough v Derby tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Middlesbrough home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Middlesbrough vs Derby Preview

Middlesbrough returned to winning ways in the Championship during the week when Boro registered a welcome and desperately needed 3-1 win away from home at Stoke City which ended a previously worrying run of five defeats on the trot, but the north-east hosts will now be eyeing off back-to-back wins this Saturday.

Derby County's woes continued last weekend when The Rams suffered a 1-0 defeat at home to Millwall as new manager John Eustace still searches for his first win as Derby County manager following his recent move from Blackburn Rovers.

Middlesbrough had previously endured a tough but ultimately disappointing five-match losing streak in the English second tier as Michael Carrick's side slumped to losses at the hands of Preston NE, Sunderland, Sheffield United, Watford and Bristol City respectively.

These recent losses have resulted with Middlesbrough falling down the Championship table to a disappointing 11th place but Boro still only trail sixth placed Blackburn Rovers by a four-point margin and the majority of this deficit may be eroded if Middlesbrough can pick up all three points here against lowly strugglers, Derby County.

Despite their recent poor run of results, Middlesbrough have stumbled to just two defeats in their last eight home games at the Riverside Stadium, picking up three wins in the process with victories over Hull City, Millwall and West Brom respectively.

Derby County have a new manager in the shape of John Eustace at the helm but The Rams' problems still remain the same two games into Eustace's tenure at Pride Park as the east midlands club have suffered defeats at the hands of QPR 4-0 away and Millwall 1-0 at home, although the latter was a goal scored deep into injury time.

It's now 11 league matches without a win in the Championship for Derby County who have been handed no fewer than nine losses within this period, four of which have been dealt out to The Rams on their travels.

Defeats on the road at Sheffield Wednesday, Bristol City, Cardiff City and QPR respectively suggest this upcoming trip to Teeside to take on Middlesbrough still looks a daunting prospect for Derby County, despite Middlesbrough's recent problems.

The bigger picture also underlines the extent of Derby County's struggles in this season's Championship campaign as the east midlands club have managed to capture just two wins from their previous 20 matches overall in the domestic second tier, which came via wins against Portsmouth and West Brom, both of which were on home soil at Pride Park.

Middlesbrough v Derby County Verdict

Middlesbrough have won each of the last two meetings at home against Derby County in 4-1 and 3-0 victories respectively, and whilst it may not be quite as emphatic this Saturday, Boro look to hold the edge here.

Therefore, our main bet will be Middlesbrough win @ 1.61

Other side bets worth considering:

Correct Score: Middlesbrough 2-0 @ 8.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
70%
Tie
22%
Away
8%
Voting Is Now Closed
MIDDLESBROUGH V DERBY HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-154
260
450
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-120
-120
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-111
-111
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-350
275
TIE NO BET
1
2
-400
275
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Middlesbrough & BTTS Yes
260
Middlesbrough & BTTS No
175
Derby & BTTS Yes
900
Derby & BTTS No
900
Tie & BTTS Yes
400
Tie & BTTS No
1000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Middlesbrough & Over 2.5
160
Middlesbrough & Under 2.5
300
Derby & Over 2.5
800
Derby & Under 2.5
900
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
350
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
600
0-0
1000
0-1
1400
2-0
600
1-1
600
0-2
2500
2-1
750
2-2
1400
1-2
1600
3-0
1100
3-3
5000
0-3
5000
3-1
1200
1-3
4000
MIDDLESBROUGH
DERBY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
L
L
L
W
LAST 5
L
T
T
L
L
MIDDLESBROUGH
AStoke1-3
ABristol City2-1
HWatford0-1
ASheff Utd3-1
HSunderland2-3
All ResultsHome Results
DERBY
HMillwall0-1
AQPR4-0
HOxford Utd0-0
ANorwich1-1
HSheff Utd0-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
MIDDLESBROUGH
DERBY
POSITION
11th
POS
23rd
PLAYED
34
PLAYED
34
WON
38%
13
WON
7
21%
Derby are 11 games since a win
TIED
24%
8
TIED
8
24%
Middlesbrough are 8 games since a tie
LOST
38%
13
LOST
19
56%
SCORED
54
SCORED
33
Derby have not scored in their last 3 games
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 9 games
CONCEDED
46
CONCEDED
47
Middlesbrough have conceded in their last 6 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
MIDDLESBROUGH
DERBY
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
WON
41%
7
WON
1
6%
Derby are 9 games since an away win
TIED
29%
5
TIED
5
29%
Middlesbrough are 3 games since a home tie
LOST
29%
5
LOST
11
65%
SCORED
24
SCORED
14
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 away games
CONCEDED
19
CONCEDED
31
Derby have conceded in their last 6 away games
KEY STATS
MIDDLESBROUGH
DERBY
PLAYED
34
PLAYED
34
BTTS
56%
19
BTTS
17
50%
OVER 2.5
50%
17
OVER 2.5
14
41%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
24
OVER 1.5
24
71%
CORNERS
9.8
CORNERS
10.4
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