Leeds v Southampton

Championship, played Saturday, May 4th, 2024

Here is our Leeds v Southampton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a tie. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Leeds vs Southampton Preview

Leeds United's automatic promotion hopes in the Championship went up in smoke following a heavy and comprehensive 4-0 rout at the hands of QPR at Loftus Road last weekend and the Yorkshire club now find themselves three points behind second placed Ipswich Town ahead of this final day of the season fixture against Southampton, while the south coast visitors slumped to a third defeat on the trot last weekend, losing 1-0 at home to Stoke City.

Leeds United had previously seemed to be well on track for automatic promotion as the hosts had put together an excellent 15-match unbeaten sequence in the English second tier which included picking up no fewer than 13 wins in the process with Daniel Farke's side recording eight of these 13 wins on home soil at Elland Road which included notable wins against Norwich City, Leicester City and Hull City respectively.

However, as the season has progressed to the latter stages, Leeds United have experienced something of a major wobble as Daniel Farke's side have managed to capture just one further from their subsequent five games, that being a 4-3 win away from home at Middlesbrough.

Having also slipped to three defeats within these five games with losses to Coventry City, Blackburn Rovers and QPR, the goals market appeals for this upcoming fixture.

Southampton sit in fourth place and six points behind Leeds United so the visitors are now out of the race for automatic promotion but The Saints do have a say in the promotion race as they make their way to Elland Road desperately looking to rekindle their earlier form in the Championship.

A dismal 1-0 loss at home to Stoke City last weekend became Southampton's third league defeat on the trot as the south coast have also suffered a case of latter season nerves which includes previous defeats at the hands of Cardiff City and Leicester City, the latter being a particularly heavy 5-0 thrashing away from home against The Foxes.

Southampton had also put together an impressive unbeaten run of 22 games without defeat in the Championship as Russell Martin's side had also looked in a strong position to achieve automatic promotion but the south coast side have since struggled to maintain that run.

The south coast visitors have managed to capture just a further six wins in their subsequent 15 matches overall which has seen them drop out of automatic promotion reckoning and will now have to take their chances in the play-offs.

Three defeats out of their last four away games with losses incurred at Ipswich Town, Cardiff City and Leicester City suggest Saints may be happy with a point here.

Leeds United v Southampton Verdict

Goals look the most likely outcome here as three of the last four meetings have resulted in both teams scoring.

Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS Yes @ 1.53

Other side bets worth considering:

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS Yes @ 1.83

Correct Score: Draw @ 4.33

TIP
Small Wager on
Tie
2-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
27%
Tie
35%
Away
38%
Voting Is Now Closed
LEEDS V SOUTHAMPTON HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-182
333
450
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-188
137
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-200
162
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-700
450
TIE NO BET
1
2
-450
300
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Leeds & BTTS Yes
175
Leeds & BTTS No
225
Southampton & BTTS Yes
700
Southampton & BTTS No
1000
Tie & BTTS Yes
400
Tie & BTTS No
1800
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Leeds & Over 3.5
210
Leeds & Under 3.5
175
Southampton & Over 3.5
1200
Southampton & Under 3.5
650
Tie & Over 3.5
900
Tie & Under 3.5
550
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
900
0-0
1800
0-1
2000
2-0
900
1-1
800
0-2
3300
2-1
750
2-2
1200
1-2
1600
3-0
1200
3-3
4000
0-3
5000
3-1
1000
1-3
4000
LEEDS
SOUTHAMPTON
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
T
L
W
L
LAST 5
W
W
L
L
L
LEEDS
AQPR4-0
AMiddlesbrough3-4
HBlackburn0-1
HSunderland0-0
ACoventry2-1
All ResultsHome Results
SOUTHAMPTON
HStoke0-1
ALeicester5-0
ACardiff2-1
HPreston3-0
HWatford3-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
LEEDS
SOUTHAMPTON
POSITION
3rd
POS
4th
PLAYED
45
PLAYED
45
WON
60%
27
WON
25
56%
Southampton are 3 games since a win
TIED
20%
9
TIED
9
20%
Leeds are 3 games since a tie
Southampton are 6 games since a tie
LOST
20%
9
LOST
11
24%
Southampton have lost 3 games in a row
SCORED
80
SCORED
85
Southampton have not scored in their last 2 games
Southampton have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
41
CONCEDED
62
Leeds have conceded in their last 3 games
Southampton have conceded in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
LEEDS
SOUTHAMPTON
PLAYED
22
PLAYED
22
WON
73%
16
WON
10
45%
Southampton are 4 games since an away win
TIED
23%
5
TIED
6
27%
LOST
5%
1
LOST
6
27%
Leeds have lost the fewest home games in Championship
SCORED
44
SCORED
31
Southampton have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
14
CONCEDED
33
Leeds have conceded the fewest goals at home in Championship
Leeds have not conceded 2 or more in their last 12 home games
KEY STATS
LEEDS
SOUTHAMPTON
PLAYED
45
PLAYED
45
BTTS
44%
20
BTTS
29
64%
OVER 2.5
53%
24
OVER 2.5
29
64%
Southampton are best in Championship for over 2.5 goals games
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
32
OVER 1.5
38
84%
Southampton are best in Championship for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
9.9
CORNERS
11
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