Leeds v Derby

Championship, played Saturday, December 7th, 2024

Here is our Leeds v Derby tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Leeds home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Leeds vs Derby Preview

Leeds United's impressive three-match winning streak in the Championship was brought to a halt last weekend when the Yorkshire club were dealt a disappointing 1-0 defeat away from home at Blackburn Rovers which has resulted in The Whites dropping down to third place in the English second tier table.

Derby County's winless run in the Championship was lengthened to four games overall when The Rams were handed a 2-1 loss at home to Sheffield Wednesday, leaving the east midlands club in 15th place in the table ahead of this tough looking trip to Elland Road on Saturday lunchtime.

The recent loss in Lancashire at Ewood Park to Blackburn Rovers became only a third league defeat this season for Leeds United who had previously slipped to losses against the likes of Burnley and Millwall respectively, but Daniel Farke's side have also collected 10 wins within their opening 18 games this season as well.

Interestingly, two of Leeds United's three losses have been incurred on their travels but results on home soil at Elland Road have nevertheless been impressive as the hosts have lost just once at Elland Road while picking up seven wins, their last six home wins being on the trot.

Derby County will make their way up to Elland Road for Saturday lunchtime's clash against Leeds United looking to avoid a third league defeat on the trot in the Championship following recent back-to-back defeats at the hands of Swansea City and Sheffield Wednesday respectively.

The bigger picture shows Derby County have registered just two wins in their previous 13 games overall in the Championship which were gained over QPR and Coventry City but The Rams have also been handed six defeats in the process which places the visitors in a potentially vulnerable spot ahead of this upcoming clash against Leeds United.

Paul Warne's side have collected five wins so far in this season's Championship campaign but it is worth mentioning that four of these five victories were achieved on home soil at Pride Park while their one success on the road to date this term came in the shape of the aforementioned 2-1 win at Coventry City.

In addition, Derby County have managed to pick up just two wins from their last 20 away games in the English second tier whilst also being dealt no fewer than 14 losses, so the prospects of an away win here look extremely slim.

Leeds United v Derby County Verdict

Five of Leeds United's last six home wins have also seen the hosts keep clean sheets into the bargain, while Derby County have conceded in each of their last nine games overall.

Therefore, a comfortable home win for Leeds United with a few goals looks likely here.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90

Other side bets worth considering:

Leeds win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20

Correct Score: Leeds Utd 3-0 @ 8.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
68%
Tie
24%
Away
8%
Voting Is Now Closed
LEEDS V DERBY HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-300
375
800
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
125
-175
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-111
-111
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-300
240
TIE NO BET
1
2
-900
550
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Leeds & BTTS Yes
275
Leeds & BTTS No
-111
Derby & BTTS Yes
1800
Derby & BTTS No
1200
Tie & BTTS Yes
600
Tie & BTTS No
900
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Leeds & Over 2.5
120
Leeds & Under 2.5
210
Derby & Over 2.5
1600
Derby & Under 2.5
1200
Tie & Over 2.5
2200
Tie & Under 2.5
450
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
500
0-0
900
0-1
1600
2-0
500
1-1
850
0-2
4000
2-1
800
2-2
2500
1-2
2500
3-0
700
3-3
8000
0-3
10000
3-1
1200
1-3
6600
LEEDS
DERBY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
W
W
L
LAST 5
W
T
T
L
L
LEEDS
ABlackburn1-0
HLuton3-0
ASwansea3-4
HQPR2-0
AMillwall1-0
All ResultsHome Results
DERBY
HSheffield Wednesday1-2
HSwansea1-2
APreston1-1
HPlymouth1-1
ACoventry1-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
LEEDS
DERBY
POSITION
3rd
POS
15th
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
WON
56%
10
WON
5
28%
Derby are 4 games since a win
TIED
28%
5
TIED
5
28%
Leeds are 6 games since a tie
LOST
17%
3
LOST
8
44%
SCORED
31
SCORED
22
Derby have scored in their last 10 games
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
13
CONCEDED
24
Derby have conceded in their last 9 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
LEEDS
DERBY
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
9
WON
78%
7
WON
1
11%
Leeds have won 6 home games in a row
TIED
11%
1
TIED
3
33%
Leeds are 8 games since a home tie
LOST
11%
1
LOST
5
56%
SCORED
20
SCORED
9
Leeds have scored in their last 6 home games
Derby have scored in their last 5 away games
CONCEDED
5
CONCEDED
15
Derby have conceded in all away games this season
Leeds have not conceded in their last 3 home games
Leeds have not conceded 2 or more in their last 8 home games
KEY STATS
LEEDS
DERBY
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
BTTS
28%
5
BTTS
12
67%
OVER 2.5
39%
7
OVER 2.5
8
44%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
13
OVER 1.5
15
83%
CORNERS
9.6
CORNERS
10.8
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