Derby v Oxford Utd

Championship, played Tuesday, February 11th, 2025

Here is our Derby v Oxford Utd tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Oxford Utd away win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Derby vs Oxford Preview

Derby County managed to stem the flow of defeats in the Championship on the weekend when The Rams earned a valuable point by way of a 1-1 draw away from home at in-form Norwich City, and the east midlands club will be looking to build upon that promising result here at Pride Park on Tuesday night.

Oxford United's impressive and solid looking nine-match unbeaten run in the English second tier was halted with a 1-0 defeat away from home at high-flyers Burnley at Turf Moor last Tuesday but nevertheless, Oxford United manager, Gary Rowett, will be plotting the downfall of one of his former clubs at Pride Park in this upcoming encounter.

Derby County had previously slumped to seven defeats on the trot in the Championship with four of these seven losses being inflicted upon The Rams on home soil at Pride Park and the fall-out of this poor sequence of results prompted the sacking of former coach, Paul Warne.

Losses on home soil to the likes of Leeds United, Watford, Sunderland and Sheffield United suggest Derby County are by no means guaranteed a result here though on Tuesday night, especially as The Rams have managed to capture just two wins from their previous 17 matches overall.

Despite collecting wins against Portsmouth and West Brom, both at Pride Park, Derby County have slipped to no fewer than 11 defeats within these 17 games, while six of their last 10 matches overall have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Oxford United's fortunes have changed dramatically since the sacking of former boss Des Buckingham and the subsequent arrival of new coach, Gary Rowett, as The U's have been dealt just the single defeat within their last 10 matches overall in the Championship.

Five wins within these previous 10 matches overall have seen Oxford United pick up important victories over the likes of Cardiff City, Plymouth Argyle, Millwall, Blackburn Rovers and Luton Town respectively, and these results have helped lift the visitors up into a more respectable looking 16th place in the table.

However, results away from home though have been particularly poor where Oxford United have been concerned as The U's have managed to register just one win from their 15 outings on the road so far this season and along with having slipped to nine defeats as well, the straight win market looks risky here.

Goals could also be in short supply as eight out of Oxford United's last 10 away games in the Championship have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Derby County v Oxford United Verdict

Derby County have really struggled to pick up results in recent times while Oxford United's form on the road has been abysmal, so this looks like being a low-scoring affair.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.61

Other side bets worth considering:

Oxford United win @ 3.60

Correct Score: Oxford United win & Under 4 goals @ 4.20

TIP
Small Wager on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
28%
Tie
31%
Away
41%
Voting Is Now Closed
DERBY V OXFORD UTD HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
115
210
270
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
120
-163
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
162
-200
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-188
150
TIE NO BET
1
2
-200
150
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Derby & BTTS Yes
450
Derby & BTTS No
225
Oxford Utd & BTTS Yes
800
Oxford Utd & BTTS No
450
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
550
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Derby & Over 2.5
333
Derby & Under 2.5
275
Oxford Utd & Over 2.5
650
Oxford Utd & Under 2.5
500
Tie & Over 2.5
1600
Tie & Under 2.5
250
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
500
0-0
500
0-1
650
2-0
500
1-1
500
0-2
1400
2-1
900
2-2
1800
1-2
1200
3-0
2200
3-3
8000
0-3
4000
3-1
2200
1-3
3300
DERBY
OXFORD UTD
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
L
L
L
T
LAST 5
W
W
T
T
L
DERBY
ANorwich1-1
HSheff Utd0-1
ACardiff2-1
HSunderland0-1
HWatford0-2
All ResultsHome Results
OXFORD UTD
ABurnley1-0
HBristol City1-1
AStoke0-0
HLuton3-2
HBlackburn1-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
DERBY
OXFORD UTD
POSITION
22nd
POS
16th
PLAYED
33
PLAYED
33
WON
21%
7
WON
9
27%
Derby are 10 games since a win
Oxford Utd are 5 games since a win
TIED
24%
8
TIED
11
33%
LOST
55%
18
LOST
13
39%
SCORED
33
SCORED
34
Derby have not scored in their last 2 games
Oxford Utd have not scored in their last 3 games
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 8 games
Oxford Utd have not scored 2 or more in their last 5 games
CONCEDED
46
CONCEDED
47
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
DERBY
OXFORD UTD
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
WON
38%
6
WON
1
6%
Derby are 5 games since a home win
Oxford Utd are 5 games since an away win
TIED
19%
3
TIED
6
38%
LOST
44%
7
LOST
9
56%
SCORED
19
SCORED
10
Derby have not scored in their last 5 home games
Oxford Utd have not scored in their last 3 away games
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 5 home games
Oxford Utd have not scored 2 or more in their last 12 away games
CONCEDED
15
CONCEDED
25
Derby have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 home games
Oxford Utd have not conceded 2 or more in their last 6 away games
KEY STATS
DERBY
OXFORD UTD
PLAYED
33
PLAYED
33
BTTS
52%
17
BTTS
17
52%
OVER 2.5
42%
14
OVER 2.5
12
36%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
24
OVER 1.5
24
73%
CORNERS
10.4
CORNERS
9.8
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