Burnley v Middlesbrough

Championship, played Friday, December 6th, 2024

Here is our Burnley v Middlesbrough tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Burnley home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Burnley vs Middlesbrough Preview

Burnley will play host to Middlesbrough in the Championship on Friday night at Turf Moor with the hosts looking to make it five league wins on the trot and in turn move themselves above Sheffield United into pole position in the table.

Middlesbrough lifted themselves up into fifth place in the Championship table on the weekend thanks to a 3-1 home win against Hull City which also made it four wins in five games for the visitors.

Burnley occupy second place in the Championship table thanks to racking up four wins on the trot in the English second tier following victories gained over the likes of Swansea City, Bristol City, Coventry City and Stoke City respectively, all of which also resulted in Burnley keeping clean sheets.

The Clarets have slipped to just two defeats so far in this season's Championship campaign which were both losses incurred away from home at Sunderland and Millwall respectively, while Scott Parkers' side have also collected a total of 10 wins within their 18 matches played to date this term.

In addition, Burnley still remain unbeaten in their eight home games at Turf Moor, and having also kept six clean sheets within these eight games as well, Burnley look in good shape to add to their points tally here on Friday night.

Middlesbrough captured a fourth win in five games in the Championship by way of recording a 3-1 home win against Hull City, and despite slipping to a disappointing 1-0 defeat at home to Blackburn Rovers in their previous match, Boro have clinched a few important wins of late in the English second tier.

Recent wins against QPR, Luton Town and Oxford United in 4-1, 5-1 and 6-2 victories respectively have been veritable goal-fests as Middlesbrough have run riot in recent weeks but a very different game looks set to unfold at Turf Moor on Friday night.

One of the concerns for Middlesbrough manager Michael Carrick is the fact that his Boro side have already slipped to six defeats within their opening 18 games of the season, joint-top for losses with Watford in teams sitting in the top six of the table.

Although Middlesbrough have registered wins on the road at Cardiff City, West Brom, QPR and Oxford United, the north-east visitors have also slipped to losses on their travels at Derby County, Sunderland and Watford respectively as well.

In addition, Middlesbrough have managed to keep just two clean sheets in their last 12 outings on the road which could haunt the visitors at Turf Moor on Friday night.

Burnley v Middlesbrough Verdict

Burnley are unbeaten in their last six meetings against Middlesbrough and having picked up four wins, the hosts look the more likely here as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Burnley win @ 2.25

Other side bets worth considering:

Burnley win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.75

Correct Score: Burnley 1-0 @ 7.50

TIP
Small Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
46%
Tie
31%
Away
23%
Voting Is Now Closed
BURNLEY V MIDDLESBROUGH HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
140
225
190
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-120
-120
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
110
-138
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-275
220
TIE NO BET
1
2
-138
100
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Burnley & BTTS Yes
400
Burnley & BTTS No
300
Middlesbrough & BTTS Yes
500
Middlesbrough & BTTS No
400
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
750
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Burnley & Over 2.5
333
Burnley & Under 2.5
400
Middlesbrough & Over 2.5
400
Middlesbrough & Under 2.5
500
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
300
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
700
0-0
800
0-1
800
2-0
700
1-1
500
0-2
1200
2-1
850
2-2
1400
1-2
1000
3-0
2200
3-3
5000
0-3
2800
3-1
2000
1-3
2200
BURNLEY
MIDDLESBROUGH
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
W
W
W
W
LAST 5
W
W
W
L
W
BURNLEY
AStoke0-2
HCoventry2-0
ABristol City0-1
HSwansea1-0
AWest Brom0-0
All ResultsHome Results
MIDDLESBROUGH
HHull3-1
HBlackburn0-1
AOxford Utd2-6
HLuton5-1
AQPR1-4
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
BURNLEY
MIDDLESBROUGH
POSITION
2nd
POS
5th
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
WON
56%
10
WON
9
50%
Burnley have won 4 games in a row
TIED
33%
6
TIED
3
17%
Middlesbrough have tied the fewest games in Championship
Burnley are 4 games since a tie
Middlesbrough are 6 games since a tie
LOST
11%
2
LOST
6
33%
Burnley have lost the fewest games in Championship
Burnley are 5 games since a loss
SCORED
23
SCORED
32
Burnley have scored in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
6
CONCEDED
21
Burnley have conceded the fewest goals in Championship
Middlesbrough have conceded in their last 7 games
Burnley have achieved a shutout in their last 5 games
Burnley have not conceded 2 or more goals in a game this season
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
BURNLEY
MIDDLESBROUGH
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
8
WON
62%
5
WON
4
50%
TIED
38%
3
TIED
1
12%
Middlesbrough have tied the fewest away games in Championship
LOST
0%
0
LOST
3
38%
Burnley have lost the fewest home games in Championship
SCORED
12
SCORED
17
Middlesbrough have scored the most away goals in Championship
Middlesbrough have scored in their last 5 away games
CONCEDED
2
CONCEDED
10
Burnley have conceded the fewest goals at home in Championship
Middlesbrough have conceded in their last 4 away games
Burnley have not conceded in their last 5 home games
Burnley have not conceded 2 or more goals in a home game this season
KEY STATS
BURNLEY
MIDDLESBROUGH
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
BTTS
22%
4
BTTS
8
44%
Burnley are best in Championship for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
17%
3
OVER 2.5
8
44%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
44%
8
OVER 1.5
12
67%
Burnley are best in Championship for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8.3
CORNERS
10
Burnley are best in Championship for low corners games
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