Copa Libertadores, played Thursday, June 29th, 2023
Here is our Corinthians v Liverpool FC tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Corinthians home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Group E throws up a ‘winner takes all' scenario with Brazilian hosts, Corinthians, taking on Uruguay counterparts, Liverpool Montevideo, at the Neo Química Arena in a straight shoot-out to claim third place in the group which would see the victors progress through to the knockout round of the Copa Sudamericana competition.
Both Corinthians and Liverpool are too far behind the top two clubs in the group, Argentinos Jrs and Independiente, to challenge for a top two finish and continue in the Copa Libertadores, but Corinthians will fancy their chances in this one as they hold home advantage on Wednesday night.
Although Corinthians have picked up just one win throughout the group phase so far, the hosts have been in reasonable shape on home soil in recent times, putting together a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions which includes wins against Fluminense in Serie A and a Copa da Brasil victory over Atletico Mineiro.
Liverpool Montevideo sit bottom of the group but level on points with their hosts, Corinthians, with only goal difference separating the two clubs prior to this vital clash on Wednesday night and the visitors have won four of their last five games overall, including a win against Independiente in Group E of the Copa Libertadores.
However, although Liverpool have won their last four home games on the trot, results away from home have been far less convincing as the visitors have managed to scrape together just two wins out of their last 11 outings on the road, both of which were registered in the Uruguayan Primera Division with victories at Boston River and Cerro Largo.
Five defeats within this period though suggest another tough outing on the road beckons for Liverpool as they make their way to the Neo Química Arena to take on a Corinthians outfit who recorded a resounding 3-0 win away from home against them back in early April in the group stage of this season's Copa Libertadores.
Corinthians v Liverpool Montevideo Verdict
Corinthians have lost each of their last three home games in the Copa Libertadores, suffering defeats at the hands of Flamengo, Argentinos Jrs and Independiente Valle but all of these opponents are considered much stronger than the upcoming visitors, Liverpool Montevideo.
Liverpool have struggled to pick up positive results away from home in all competitions of late and together with having recorded a comprehensive 3-0 victory over their opponents in recent times, Corinthians look to hold the edge here in this vital clash to determine who goes through to the knockout round of the Copa Sudamericana.
Therefore, our main bet will be Corinthians win @ 1.55
Other side bets worth considering:
Corinthians win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.00
Correct score: Corinthians 2-0 @ 7.50
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| A | Atletico Paranaense | 1-0 |
| A | Santos | 0-2 |
| H | Cuiaba Esporte Clube | 1-1 |
| A | Independiente del Valle | 3-0 |
| A | America Mineiro | 2-0 |
| H | Club Nacional | 3-0 |
| A | Cerro Largo | 1-3 |
| A | Argentinos Juniors | 2-1 |
| H | Racing CM | 3-2 |
| H | Independiente del Valle | 1-0 |