Copa America, played Monday, July 1st, 2024
Here is our Mexico v Ecuador tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Mexico home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.
It's been a mixed start to this Copa America group campaign for both Mexico and Ecuador as both nations have won and lost in their opening two games and it now comes down to a straight shoot-out between these two sides to determine who will go through with the likely candidate Venezuela, into the knockout rounds when they face off at the State Farm Stadium on matchday 3.
Mexico started their Copa America campaign off in bright fashion as Jaime Lozano's side registered a 1-0 win against Jamaica on matchday 1 to get El Tri off to a great start but a disappointing 1-0 defeat at the hands of an improving Venezuela outfit on matchday 2 means they head into this final group game needing all three points to make sure of a place in the quarter-finals.
This may be easier said than done though as the current crop of Mexico's personnel are in transition since the likes of Vela, Chicarito, Ochoa, Lozano and Jimenez have either since retired or left out of the squad and recent results have produced a mixed bag as a consequence.
Four wins but also six defeats make up Mexico's last 10 results in internationals in all competitions so the straight win markets should be avoided here!
Ecuador have also won and lost in their opening two games of the group stage as they were dealt a 2-1 loss against Venezuela on matchday 1 but Felix Sanchez's side recovered by bouncing back with a resounding 3-1 victory over Jamaica on matchday 2, so there's everything to play for on matchday 3 at the State Farm Stadium against Mexico.
Although Ecuador have experienced a flurry of losses in recent times following defeats against Italy and Argentina in international friendlies along with the opening loss to Venezuela, La Tricolor have also registered wins in friendlies against Bolivia and Honduras, along with a recent Copa America win against Jamaica as well.
The bigger picture shows Ecuador have lost just three of their last 12 matches overall in all competitions which also includes collecting seven wins in the process as well, so Felix Sanchez's side will also fancy their chances of producing a positive result here and one that could take them through to the quarter-finals.
Mexico v Ecuador Verdict
Both Mexico and Ecuador are expected to go for it in this final game of Group B as both nations know that all three points in this upcoming tussle would send the winner through to the knockout rounds and therefore we could see a few goals unfold here at the State Farm Stadium.
Interestingly, four of the last six meetings have resulted in Over 2.5 goals while Mexico have also picked up three wins during this period as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 2.37
Other side bets worth considering:
Mexico win @ 2.70
Correct Score: Mexico 2-1 @ 11.00
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| H | Jamaica | 1-0 |
| H | Brazil | 2-3 |
| H | Uruguay | 0-4 |
| H | Bolivia | 1-0 |
| H | Colombia | 2-3 |
| H | Venezuela | 1-2 |
| H | Honduras | 2-1 |
| H | Bolivia | 3-1 |
| A | Argentina | 1-0 |
| A | Italy | 2-0 |