Copa America, played Monday, June 24th, 2024
Here is our Colombia v Paraguay tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Colombia home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Group D kicks off with this upcoming clash between CONMEBOL counterparts Colombia and Paraguay at the NRG Stadium with both sides looking to join the group favourites, Brazil, into the knockout rounds of this Copa America tournament with Colombia seemingly holding the upper hand having won their last eight internationals on the trot, while Paraguay have found wins hard to come by in recent times.
Although Colombia failed to qualify for the previous 2022 World Cup in Qatar, Los Cafeteros should have no such problems this time around as FIFA have opened up two more qualifying spots as well as Colombia's promising and solid start to this current campaign which has seen Nestor Lorenzo's side unbeaten to date and sitting in third spot in the CONMEBOL table.
Indeed, following back-to-back defeats at the hands of Peru and Argentina towards the end of the previous World Cup qualifying campaign, a change at the helm in the shape of Nestor Lorenzo has prompted an impressive 23-match unbeaten sequence in all competitions, while their last eight wins on the trot also includes keeping a total of four clean sheets into the bargain.
Within these last eight victories, Colombia registered a 1-0 win against Paraguay away from home at the Estadio ueno Defensores del Chaco.
Paraguay recorded a 1-0 win against Panama in their final warm-up game prior to this Copa America but Daniel Garnero's side have found compiling wins in all competitions an extremely tough exercise as Los Guaranies have managed to capture just three victories in their last 14 internationals overall.
International friendly wins against Nicaragua and Panama along with a World Cup qualifier 1-0 victory at home against Bolivia have been the only highlights within these previous 14 games and having also slipped to seven defeats in the process as well, this looks like being a tough opening game for Garnero's charges.
Goals look set to be at a premium as well for this upcoming clash at the NRG Stadium as no fewer than 12 of Paraguay's last 14 games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals which includes Panama failing to score in a staggering 10 games within this sequence of results.
In addition, Paraguay have managed to register just two wins in their previous 14 games in the Copa America where they hold a very poor record which includes losing nine of these 14 matches, so the prospects of an upset here against Colombia look decidedly unlikely.
Colombia v Paraguay Verdict
It's perhaps unsurprising then, that Colombia have enjoyed the upper hand over Paraguay in recent exchanges as they are unbeaten in each of the last five meetings and having recorded three wins within this period, Colombia look the more likely to take the spoils in this one.
Therefore, our main bet will be Colombia win @ 1.70
Other side bets worth considering:
Colombia win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.40
Correct Score: Colombia 1-0 @ 5.50
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| H | Bolivia | 3-0 |
| A | USA | 1-5 |
| A | Romania | 2-3 |
| A | Spain | 0-1 |
| A | Mexico | 2-3 |
| A | Panama | 0-1 |
| A | Chile | 3-0 |
| A | Peru | 0-0 |
| H | Colombia | 0-1 |
| A | Chile | 0-0 |