Champions League, played Wednesday, March 6th, 2024
Here is our Real Madrid v RB Leipzig tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Real Madrid home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Real Madrid earned what could prove to be a decisive 1-0 win away from home in the 1st leg of this Champions League round of 16 tie against RB Leipzig back in mid-February at the Red Bull Arena and the Spanish hosts will be keen to put this tie to bed at their Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Wednesday night's 2nd leg as Carlo Ancelotti's side look to extend their unbeaten run in all competitions to 10 games overall.
Real Madrid gained a worthy point in a 2-2 draw away from home at Valencia on the weekend in La Liga and having collected six wins within their last nine games which includes the aforementioned 1-0 win away at RB Leipzig in the Champions League, Ancelotti's side look to be well placed to progress through to the quarter-final stage of this competition.
Within these six victories, five of these have been claimed in the Spanish top flight with wins collected against the likes of Almeria, Las Palmas, Getafe, Girona and Sevilla while the bigger picture shows Real Madrid have been handed just the one defeat from their previous 31 games overall in all competitions which makes the hosts a very tough prospect for their German visitors in this return leg on Wednesday night.
RB Leipzig registered a resounding and comprehensive 4-1 rout of Bochum away from home in the German Bundesliga on the weekend which will give Marco Rose's side a welcome boost ahead of this tough looking trip to Madrid on Wednesday night, but recent results overall suggest the German visitors may be fearing the worst ahead of this return leg.
RB Leipzig have registered just three wins from their last nine matches in all competitions which consist of victories against Union Berlin, Borussia M'gladbach and Bochum in the Bundesliga, the former two wins both being on home soil at their Red Bull Arena while also slipping to five defeats as well within this sequence.
Defeats in the German top flight to Eintracht Frankfurt, Bayer Leverkusen, Stuttgart and Bayern Munich along with the 1st leg loss at home to Real Madrid suggest this 2nd leg tie in Madrid may be a bridge too far for Rose's side especially as the German visitors have already tasted defeat at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in a previous away tie to Real Madrid, losing 2-0 back in September 2022.
Real Madrid v RB Leipzig Verdict
Seven of RB Leipzig's last 10 away ties in the Champions League have produced four goals or more and given Real Madrid's recent dominance on both domestic and European fronts, the hosts look the more likely to secure the required result which will see them progress to the last eight of this competition.
Therefore, our main bet will be Real Madrid win @ 1.55
Other side bets worth considering:
Real Madrid win & Over 3.5 goals @ 3.20
Correct Score: Real Madrid 2-1 @ 8.50
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| A | Valencia | 2-2 |
| H | Sevilla | 1-0 |
| A | Rayo Vallecano | 1-1 |
| A | RB Leipzig | 0-1 |
| H | Girona | 4-0 |
| A | VfL Bochum | 1-4 |
| A | Bayern Munich | 2-1 |
| H | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2-0 |
| H | Real Madrid | 0-1 |
| A | Augsburg | 2-2 |