Champions League, played Tuesday, March 4th, 2025
Here is our Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Real Madrid home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.
Real Madrid were handed a rare defeat in the Spanish top flight over the weekend with a 2-1 loss away from home at Real Betis which put an end to a previously promising run of seven games without defeat in all competitions, but the hosts now return to the home surroundings of their Estadio Santiago Bernabéu for this upcoming local derby against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.
Atletico Madrid extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to 10 games overall with a 1-0 home win against Athletic Bilbao in La Liga on the weekend which now makes it six wins from their last 10 games overall, giving the visitors a welcome boost ahead of this important 1st leg tie at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
Real Madrid have generally produced a consistent flow of results though in recent times in all competitions as Carlo Ancelotti's side have succumbed to just three defeats within their previous 23 games overall which were at the hands of Barcelona, Espanyol and Real Betis respectively.
Meanwhile, Real Madrid have racked up a total of 17 wins within this period as well which will give the hosts plenty of belief and confidence that they can produce a result in their own backyard on Tuesday night, especially as Real Madrid have been dealt just one defeat from their last 18 Champions League ties on home soil, picking up 13 wins in the process.
Atletico Madrid bring a solid sequence of results in all competitions into this upcoming two-legged local derby with crosstown rivals Real Madrid which the visitors will be hoping can stand them in good stead at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on Tuesday night.
The visitors also possess an extremely consistent sequence of results over a long period of time as Diego Simeone's side have stumbled to just a single defeat within their previous 26 matches overall, which came in the form of a 1-0 loss away from home at Leganes in La Liga.
With 21 wins under their belts from these previous 26 matches, Atletico Madrid will also feel they have legitimate claims on securing a possible 1st leg lead here in this local derby on Tuesday night, especially as the visitors have also lost just once in their last 14 outings on the road.
In addition, nine of these previous 14 away games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals as well, so the goals market also looks an attractive proposition for this upcoming encounter on Tuesday night.
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid Verdict
Honours have been even between these two sides in recent exchanges as each of the last three meetings have resulted in 1-1 draws but Real Madrid should edge this 1st leg tie with home advantage.
Therefore, our main bet will be Real Madrid win @ 1.85
Other side bets worth considering:
Real Madrid win & Over 2 goals @ 2.90
Correct Score: Real Madrid 2-1 @ 8.50
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| A | Real Betis | 2-1 |
| A | Real Sociedad | 0-1 |
| H | Girona | 2-0 |
| H | Man City | 3-1 |
| A | Osasuna | 1-1 |
| H | Athletic Bilbao | 1-0 |
| A | Barcelona | 4-4 |
| A | Valencia | 0-3 |
| H | Celta Vigo | 1-1 |
| A | Real Madrid | 1-1 |