Champions League, played Wednesday, December 13th, 2023
Here is our Newcastle v AC Milan tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Newcastle home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Both Newcastle United and AC Milan will need to dust themselves off after suffering defeats on the domestic front on the weekend as Newcastle United were dealt a comprehensive 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Tottenham in the nation's capital on Sunday whilst AC Milan also slipped to defeat away from home, losing 3-2 at Atalanta, so both teams will be eager to get over the line and secure a third place spot with a win here.
After putting together a promising and impressive eight-match unbeaten sequence (which included six wins) in all competitions from mid-September through to towards the end of October, Newcastle United have struggled to attain the consistency they previously showed under manager, Eddie Howe, as The Magpies have managed to pick up just a further four wins in their subsequent 11 games in all competitions.
Three of these four wins were recorded in the Premier League with victories achieved over Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United along with a League Cup win over Manchester United also, but the north-east club have also been handed five defeats within this period as well.
Two of these five losses were inflicted upon Howe's side in the Champions League as they slipped to defeats at the hands of German club, Borussia Dortmund in home and away losses, so the prospects of a home win here do seem to hang in the balance somewhat.
AC Milan also tasted defeat on the domestic front on the weekend as they were dealt a 3-2 defeat away from home at Atalanta as the Italian visitors have also struggled to achieve any sort of consistency in overall results in all competitions of late.
Following a solid and noteworthy single defeat in an 11-game period from mid-August through to early October which also included collecting no fewer than eight wins in the process, AC Milan's form has taken a worrying nose-dive in subsequent matches as Stefano Pioli's side have managed to capture just a further three wins from their last 10 matches in all competitions.
A 2-1 home win against PSG in the Champions League along with home wins in the Italian top flight against Fiorentina and Frosinone would normally have been considered good results but the gloss of these victories has been wiped away by also slipping to five defeats within this 10-game sequence which include heavy losses in the Champions League to PSG (3-0 away) and a 3-1 loss at home to Borussia Dortmund.
Newcastle United v AC Milan Verdict
Goals may be the safest option here as five of Newcastle United's last 10 games have resulted in Over 2.5 goals while seven of AC Milan's last 10 ties have also produced three goals or more.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75
Other side bets worth considering:
Newcastle Utd win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.75
Correct Score: Newcastle Utd 2-1 @ 8.50
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| A | Tottenham | 4-1 |
| A | Everton | 3-0 |
| H | Man Utd | 1-0 |
| A | PSG | 1-1 |
| H | Chelsea | 4-1 |
| A | Atalanta | 3-2 |
| H | Frosinone | 3-1 |
| H | Borussia Dortmund | 1-3 |
| H | Fiorentina | 1-0 |
| A | Lecce | 2-2 |