Gremio v Botafogo

Serie A, played Sunday, July 9th, 2023

Here is our Gremio v Botafogo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Gremio home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Gremio vs Botafogo Preview

Last, but certainly by no means least, there is the small matter of a top-of-the-table clash between second-placed Gremio and their league leading visitors, Botafogo, when the two teams face off at the Arena do Grêmio with the hosts looking to reduce the current seven-point deficit while Botafogo will be wanting to keep their rivals at arms length.

Gremio will head into this important clash on the back of a three-match winning streak which has seen the hosts collect vital victories against America Mineiro, Coritiba and Bahia respectively while the bigger picture shows that Renato Gaucho's side have also registered six wins out of their last seven games overall.

This recent winning momentum has helped lift Gremio into second place and the hosts have become Botafogo's closest rivals to the Brazilian Serie A title, and Gremio also still remain unbeaten at home in this season's campaign, picking up five wins and drawing the other two of their opening seven home games at their Arena do Grêmio.

In addition, Gremio have been extremely impressive at home for some time now as the hosts are unbeaten in their last 12 home games, picking up nine wins in the process along with keeping five clean sheets as well.

Botafogo sit seven points clear at the summit of the Brazilian Serie A table thanks to a four-match winning streak which has seen the visitors register wins against Fortaleza, Cuiaba, Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama respectively, so they too will be in confident mood as they prepare for this trip to the Arena do Grêmio on Sunday evening.

Botafogo possess the uncanny knack of turning potential draws into wins as well, a trait that has served them well so far this season and beyond as the visitors have lost just three of their previous 14 matches overall in the domestic top flight, the other 11 games all being victories.

However, if there is a possible chink in Botafogo's armour, it may come in the shape of performances away from home as each of the aforementioned three defeats were inflicted upon Claudio Cacapa's men on their travels, losing at Athletico PR, Goias and again at Athletico PR - the latter two defeats both being this season.

Gremio v Botafogo Verdict

Gremio's solid record at home should place the hosts in a favourable position ahead of this tough looking fixture with Botafogo but the hosts do have previous history seemingly on their side.

Gremio have won each of the last five meetings with Botafogo and therefore the hosts will be confident that they can extend their dominance over the league leaders on Sunday evening and reduce the deficit to just four points with a win here.

Therefore, our main bet will be Gremio win @ 2.10

Other side bets worth considering:

Gremio win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.75

Correct score: Gremio 2-0 @ 10.00

TIP
Small Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
39%
Tie
33%
Away
28%
Voting Is Now Closed
GREMIO V BOTAFOGO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-125
275
350
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-118
-105
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-333
240
TIE NO BET
1
2
-333
240
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Gremio & BTTS Yes
275
Gremio & BTTS No
200
Botafogo & BTTS Yes
750
Botafogo & BTTS No
700
Tie & BTTS Yes
400
Tie & BTTS No
1000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Gremio & Over 2.5
175
Gremio & Under 2.5
300
Botafogo & Over 2.5
650
Botafogo & Under 2.5
800
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
375
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
550
0-0
850
0-1
1100
2-0
550
1-1
550
0-2
2200
2-1
750
2-2
1600
1-2
1400
3-0
1400
3-3
5000
0-3
5000
3-1
1400
1-3
4000
GREMIO
BOTAFOGO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
L
W
W
W
LAST 5
L
W
W
W
W
GREMIO
ABahia1-2
HCoritiba5-1
HAmerica Mineiro3-1
AFlamengo3-0
HSao Paulo2-1
BOTAFOGO
HVasco da Gama2-0
APalmeiras0-1
ACuiaba Esporte Clube0-1
HFortaleza CE2-0
AAtletico Paranaense1-0
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
GREMIO
BOTAFOGO
POSITION
3rd
POS
1st
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
WON
62%
8
WON
11
85%
Botafogo have won the most games in Serie A
Gremio have won 3 games in a row
Botafogo have won 4 games in a row
TIED
15%
2
TIED
0
0%
Botafogo have tied the fewest games in Serie A
Gremio are 7 games since a tie
Botafogo have not tied a game this season
LOST
23%
3
LOST
2
15%
Botafogo have lost the fewest games in Serie A
Gremio are 3 games since a loss
Botafogo are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
24
SCORED
22
Gremio have scored in their last 3 games
Botafogo have scored in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
18
CONCEDED
7
Botafogo have conceded the fewest goals in Serie A
Gremio have conceded in their last 7 games
Botafogo have achieved a shutout in their last 4 games
Gremio have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
Botafogo have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 7 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
GREMIO
BOTAFOGO
PLAYED
7
PLAYED
6
WON
71%
5
WON
4
67%
Botafogo have won the most away games in Serie A
Gremio have won 4 home games in a row
TIED
29%
2
TIED
0
0%
Botafogo have tied the fewest away games in Serie A
Gremio are 4 games since a home tie
Botafogo have not tied an away game this season
LOST
0%
0
LOST
2
33%
Gremio have lost the fewest home games in Serie A
SCORED
17
SCORED
8
Gremio have scored the most goals at home in Serie A
Gremio have scored in their last 4 home games
Botafogo have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 away games
CONCEDED
7
CONCEDED
6
Gremio have conceded in their last 4 home games
Gremio have not conceded 2 or more in their last 5 home games
Botafogo have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
GREMIO
BOTAFOGO
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
BTTS
69%
9
BTTS
4
31%
OVER 2.5
77%
10
OVER 2.5
5
38%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
10
OVER 1.5
9
69%
CORNERS
12.1
CORNERS
9.4
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