Serie A, played Saturday, July 1st, 2023
Here is our Sao Paulo v Fluminense tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
The Brazilian top flight action continues this weekend and Saturday afternoon features this upcoming clash between 11th placed Sao Paulo and their fifth-placed visitors, Fluminense, when the two teams face off at Morumbi with Sao Paulo looking to return to winning ways after stumbling to a few recent defeats.
Losses to Gremio, Palmeiras and Cruzeiro have resulted in Sao Paulo dropping down to a mid-table position in the Serie A table but two of these losses were incurred on their travels, while results at home so far this season will give Sao Paulo reason to be upbeat about their chances on Saturday afternoon.
Sao Paulo have won five of their opening six games on home soil and although they were handed a 2-0 loss by Palmeiras, the hosts have recorded notable wins against sixth-placed Internacional and Athletico PR amongst others.
The bigger picture shows Sao Paulo have suffered just two defeats out of their last 10 home games whilst collecting a total of seven wins in the process, so the hosts still look in good shape ahead of this encounter.
Fluminense moved up into fifth place in the Serie A standings following a 2-1 home win against 14th placed Bahia last weekend which became part of a four-match unbeaten run in the Brazilian top flight.
An earlier win against Bragantino (also at home) along with points picked up in draws with Goias and Atletico Mineiro have helped lift the visitors within a point of the top four clubs and a possible spot in next season's Copa Libertadores, assuming Fluminense can continue this recent encouraging run of results.
Fluminense have registered six wins to date in this season's campaign but it's worth noting that four of these wins were achieved on home turf at their Maracana Stadium, but results away from home have been far more modest.
Following an impressive five-match winning streak on their travels overall, Fluminense have since slumped to picking up just one win out of their last five outings on the road, a poor run of results that include three defeats away from home in the shape of losses at Fortaleza, Botafogo and Corinthians, so the visitors may struggle at Sao Paulo.
Sao Paulo v Fluminense Verdict
Sao Paulo have produced some impressive results at their Morumbi Stadium so far this season and with home advantage behind them again on Saturday afternoon along with being unbeaten in their last three meetings at home against Fluminense, the hosts might just get over the line by a possible 2-0 margin.
Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 2.20
Other side bets worth considering:
Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.75
Correct score: Sao Paulo 2-0 @ 11.00
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| A | Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| H | Atletico Paranaense | 2-1 |
| H | Palmeiras | 0-2 |
| A | Gremio | 2-1 |
| H | Goias | 2-1 |
| H | Bahia | 2-1 |
| H | Atletico Mineiro | 1-1 |
| A | Goias | 2-2 |
| H | Bragantino | 2-1 |
| A | Corinthians | 2-0 |