Serie A, played Sunday, June 25th, 2023
Here is our Gremio v Coritiba tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Gremio home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Gremio will be going in search of back-to-back wins in the Brazilian top flight when they play host to Serie A strugglers, Coritiba, at the Arena do Grêmio on Sunday afternoon following their midweek 3-1 home win over America Mineiro and the hosts will be looking for more of the same on the weekend in order to further cement their place in the top four of the division.
Previously, Gremio had been handed a heavy 3-0 defeat away from home at Flamengo but overall recent results suggest that the hosts look to be well in control ahead of this upcoming clash with Coritiba as they have won four out of their last five games in the domestic top flight.
Victories against Internacional, Athletico PR and Sao Paulo have helped lift Gremio up into the top four of the Serie A standings where they sit in third spot and are now in contention for a possible Copa Libertadores place next season.
Gremio are also unbeaten at home so far this season, winning four and drawing twice in their opening six home matches.
Coritiba face a mountain to climb on Sunday afternoon when they make their way to face a solid Gremio outfit at their Arena do Grêmio not only because the visitors sit bottom of the Serie A table but also as the visitors have still yet to register their first win of this Brazilian top flight campaign as well.
Four draws with Sao Paulo, Vasco da Gama, Cuiaba and Santos have at least seen Coritiba get off the mark but it's interesting to note that three of these four points picked up to date this term were achieved on home soil at their Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, while results away from home have been very disappointing.
Coritiba have lost four of their opening five games on the road so far this season having been dealt defeats at Flamengo, Bahia, Athletico PR and Palmeiras respectively and having also conceded 2 goals or more in four of these five away games, the prospects do not look very promising for Coritiba this Sunday.
The bigger picture shows Coritiba have managed to capture just one away win from their previous 28 outings on their travels, losing 23 of these games which is an exceptionally poor record on the road.
Gremio v Coritiba Verdict
Previous history is also in favour of the hosts, Gremio, leading up to this encounter against Coritiba, as the hosts have won each of the last four meetings on home soil on the trot against their opponents and this trend looks set to continue on Sunday afternoon as Renato Gaucho's side are expected to be too strong for the visitors here.
Therefore, our main bet will be Gremio win @ 1.57
Other side bets worth considering:
Gremio win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.50
Correct score: Gremio 3-0 @ 11.00
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| H | America Mineiro | 3-1 |
| A | Flamengo | 3-0 |
| H | Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| A | Atletico Paranaense | 1-2 |
| H | Internacional | 3-1 |
| H | Internacional | 0-1 |
| H | Santos | 0-0 |
| A | Palmeiras | 3-1 |
| A | Cuiaba Esporte Clube | 1-1 |
| H | Atletico Mineiro | 1-2 |