Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama

Serie A, played Thursday, October 17th, 2024

Here is our Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sao Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Preview

A 2-0 loss away from home at Cuiaba last time out in the Brazilian top flight meant that Sao Paulo remained in fifth place in the Serie A standings and now four points adrift of the top four pack, while Vasco da Gama were involved in a third draw in four games when they were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Juventude in last week's action.

Sao Paulo have produced mixed results in recent weeks in the domestic top flight as the hosts have picked up five wins but have also been dealt five defeats as well within their previous 10 league matches overall in Serie A.

Four of Sao Paulo's recent five victories though have been achieved on home soil at their MorumBIS Stadium with victories gained over Flamengo, Atletico GO, Vitoria and Corinthians respectively and it's also interesting to note that four of Sao Paulo's five losses happened away from home as well.

Delving deeper into Sao Paulo's results on home soil, we find that the hosts have been handed just two defeats in their last 14 games at their MorumBIS while also racking up no fewer than 10 wins along the way as well, so Luis Zubeldia's side will be in confident mood as they prepare for the visit of Vasco da Gama.

Following an encouraging sequence of results in the Brazilian top flight which yielded an impressive three wins in five games including victories against Fluminense, Atletico PR and Vitoria, the visitors have since struggled to maintain their previous momentum in subsequent games.

Vasco da Gama have now failed to win any of their last four league matches in Serie A which includes three draws and a loss; stalemates with Flamengo, Cruzeiro and Juventude have been offset by a 1-0 loss at home to Palmeiras.

The bigger picture shows Vasco da Gama have registered just three wins within their previous 11 league matches overall and includes being handed previous back-to-back defeats away from home at Atletico MG and Gremio in 2-0 and 1-0 losses respectively.

Vasco da Gama have also struggled to gain any sort of momentum on their travels as well in the domestic top flight as Rafael Paiva's side have managed to capture just three wins in their last 17 outings on the road in Serie A and having also been dealt nine defeats within this period as well, there doesn't seem to be much hope for the visitors when they come up against a confident high-flying Sao Paulo outfit here.

Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama Verdict

Sao Paulo have lost just once in their last six meetings against Vasco da Gama and the hosts look the more likely to take the spoils in this upcoming clash as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.25

Correct Score: Sao Paulo 1-0 @ 5.50

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
53%
Tie
30%
Away
17%
Voting Is Now Closed
SAO PAULO V VASCO DA GAMA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-143
270
400
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
110
-150
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
120
-154
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-250
200
TIE NO BET
1
2
-400
275
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
333
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
150
Vasco da Gama & BTTS Yes
1000
Vasco da Gama & BTTS No
700
Tie & BTTS Yes
450
Tie & BTTS No
700
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
200
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
240
Vasco da Gama & Over 2.5
900
Vasco da Gama & Under 2.5
700
Tie & Over 2.5
1800
Tie & Under 2.5
333
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
500
0-0
700
0-1
900
2-0
500
1-1
600
0-2
2000
2-1
800
2-2
1800
1-2
1400
3-0
1400
3-3
6600
0-3
5000
3-1
1600
1-3
4000
SAO PAULO
VASCO DA GAMA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
L
W
L
LAST 5
W
T
L
T
T
SAO PAULO
ACuiaba Esporte Clube2-0
HCorinthians3-1
HInternacional1-3
ACruzeiro0-1
AFluminense2-0
All ResultsHome Results
VASCO DA GAMA
HJuventude RS1-1
ACruzeiro1-1
HPalmeiras0-1
AFlamengo1-1
AVitoria0-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SAO PAULO
VASCO DA GAMA
POSITION
5th
POS
10th
PLAYED
29
PLAYED
28
WON
48%
14
WON
10
34%
Vasco da Gama are 4 games since a win
TIED
17%
5
TIED
7
24%
Sao Paulo have tied the fewest games in Serie A
Sao Paulo are 10 games since a tie
LOST
34%
10
LOST
11
38%
SCORED
38
SCORED
32
Vasco da Gama have not scored 2 or more in their last 5 games
CONCEDED
32
CONCEDED
38
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 3 games
Vasco da Gama have conceded in their last 4 games
Vasco da Gama have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 6 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SAO PAULO
VASCO DA GAMA
PLAYED
15
PLAYED
14
WON
67%
10
WON
3
21%
TIED
13%
2
TIED
3
21%
Sao Paulo are 5 games since a home tie
LOST
20%
3
LOST
8
57%
SCORED
23
SCORED
11
Sao Paulo have scored in their last 10 home games
Vasco da Gama have scored in their last 4 away games
Vasco da Gama have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
13
CONCEDED
19
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 3 home games
Vasco da Gama have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
SAO PAULO
VASCO DA GAMA
PLAYED
29
PLAYED
28
BTTS
52%
15
BTTS
15
54%
OVER 2.5
55%
16
OVER 2.5
12
43%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
69%
20
OVER 1.5
22
79%
CORNERS
9
CORNERS
9.7
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