Serie A, played Sunday, August 4th, 2024
Here is our Sao Paulo v Flamengo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Flamengo away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Sixth placed Sao Paulo play host to the Serie A league leaders, Flamengo, at the MorumBIS with the hosts looking to end a three-match winless run in the domestic top flight, while Flamengo by contrast will be going in search of a fourth consecutive league win here.
Back-to-back stalemates with Juventude 0-0 and Botafogo 2-2 were followed by a dismal 1-0 defeat away from home at Fortaleza last weekend and these recent results have seen Sao Paulo drop down the table to sixth place where they trail the top four places by a margin of four points heading into this important clash.
Sao Paulo had previously put together a four-match winning streak in the Brazilian top flight from the end of June through to early July which produced vital wins against Criciuma, Bahia, Athletico PR and Bragantino respectively, but the hosts have managed to capture just one further win in their subsequent five games.
Five of Sao Paulo's last 10 home games have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and the hosts have kept four clean sheets within these 10 games as well.
Flamengo currently sit top of the Brazilian Serie A table but only by a superior goal difference of +3 as they find themselves level on 40 points apiece with Botafogo heading into this weekend's games.
The visitors will therefore be keen to pull away at the top of the table by picking up all three points here at MorumBIS and having won five out of their last seven matches, Tite's side look well placed to gain the three points here against Sao Paulo especially as the visitors have won their last four games on the trot in all competitions.
Victories gained in Serie A against the likes of Criciuma, Vitoria and Atletico GO have been further boosted by their recent 2-0 home win against Palmeiras in the Copa do Brasil, so needless to say the visitors will be in confident mood.
The bigger picture shows Flamengo have suffered just two defeats in their last 15 matches in the domestic top flight which came by way of losses at the hands of Juventude and Fortaleza but they have also picked up 10 wins in the process as well, making them a dangerous proposition for hosts Sao Paulo.
In addition, Flamengo have been handed just one defeat in their previous nine outings on the road whilst collecting five wins, and four of these nine away games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Sao Paulo v Flamengo Verdict
Goals could be at a premium though in this upcoming encounter as five of the previous six meetings between Sao Paulo and Flamengo have resulted in Under 2.5 goals, while Flamengo may sneak a narrow 1-0 win in the process.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65
Other side bets worth considering:
Flamengo win @ 2.70
Correct Score: Flamengo 1-0 @ 7.50
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| A | Fortaleza CE | 1-0 |
| H | Botafogo | 2-2 |
| A | Juventude RS | 0-0 |
| H | Gremio | 1-0 |
| A | Atletico Mineiro | 2-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Atletico Goianiense | 2-0 |
| A | Vitoria | 1-2 |
| H | Criciuma SC | 2-1 |
| H | Fortaleza CE | 1-2 |
| H | Cuiaba Esporte Clube | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||