Sao Paulo v Flamengo

Serie A, played Sunday, August 4th, 2024

Here is our Sao Paulo v Flamengo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Flamengo away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Preview

Sixth placed Sao Paulo play host to the Serie A league leaders, Flamengo, at the MorumBIS with the hosts looking to end a three-match winless run in the domestic top flight, while Flamengo by contrast will be going in search of a fourth consecutive league win here.

Back-to-back stalemates with Juventude 0-0 and Botafogo 2-2 were followed by a dismal 1-0 defeat away from home at Fortaleza last weekend and these recent results have seen Sao Paulo drop down the table to sixth place where they trail the top four places by a margin of four points heading into this important clash.

Sao Paulo had previously put together a four-match winning streak in the Brazilian top flight from the end of June through to early July which produced vital wins against Criciuma, Bahia, Athletico PR and Bragantino respectively, but the hosts have managed to capture just one further win in their subsequent five games.

Five of Sao Paulo's last 10 home games have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and the hosts have kept four clean sheets within these 10 games as well.

Flamengo currently sit top of the Brazilian Serie A table but only by a superior goal difference of +3 as they find themselves level on 40 points apiece with Botafogo heading into this weekend's games.

The visitors will therefore be keen to pull away at the top of the table by picking up all three points here at MorumBIS and having won five out of their last seven matches, Tite's side look well placed to gain the three points here against Sao Paulo especially as the visitors have won their last four games on the trot in all competitions.

Victories gained in Serie A against the likes of Criciuma, Vitoria and Atletico GO have been further boosted by their recent 2-0 home win against Palmeiras in the Copa do Brasil, so needless to say the visitors will be in confident mood.

The bigger picture shows Flamengo have suffered just two defeats in their last 15 matches in the domestic top flight which came by way of losses at the hands of Juventude and Fortaleza but they have also picked up 10 wins in the process as well, making them a dangerous proposition for hosts Sao Paulo.

In addition, Flamengo have been handed just one defeat in their previous nine outings on the road whilst collecting five wins, and four of these nine away games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Sao Paulo v Flamengo Verdict

Goals could be at a premium though in this upcoming encounter as five of the previous six meetings between Sao Paulo and Flamengo have resulted in Under 2.5 goals, while Flamengo may sneak a narrow 1-0 win in the process.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.65

Other side bets worth considering:

Flamengo win @ 2.70

Correct Score: Flamengo 1-0 @ 7.50

TIP
Large Wager on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
21%
Tie
27%
Away
52%
Voting Is Now Closed
SAO PAULO V FLAMENGO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
125
200
270
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
120
-163
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
170
-225
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-175
137
TIE NO BET
1
2
-200
150
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
500
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
225
Flamengo & BTTS Yes
850
Flamengo & BTTS No
450
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
500
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
350
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
275
Flamengo & Over 2.5
700
Flamengo & Under 2.5
500
Tie & Over 2.5
1800
Tie & Under 2.5
225
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
500
0-0
500
0-1
650
2-0
500
1-1
500
0-2
1400
2-1
900
2-2
1800
1-2
1200
3-0
2000
3-3
8000
0-3
4000
3-1
2200
1-3
3300
SAO PAULO
FLAMENGO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
T
T
L
LAST 5
T
L
W
W
W
SAO PAULO
AFortaleza CE1-0
HBotafogo2-2
AJuventude RS0-0
HGremio1-0
AAtletico Mineiro2-1
All ResultsHome Results
FLAMENGO
HAtletico Goianiense2-0
AVitoria1-2
HCriciuma SC2-1
HFortaleza CE1-2
HCuiaba Esporte Clube1-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SAO PAULO
FLAMENGO
POSITION
6th
POS
1st
PLAYED
20
PLAYED
19
WON
45%
9
WON
12
60%
Flamengo have won the most games in Serie A
Sao Paulo are 3 games since a win
Flamengo have won 3 games in a row
TIED
25%
5
TIED
4
20%
Flamengo are 4 games since a tie
LOST
30%
6
LOST
3
15%
Flamengo have lost the fewest games in Serie A
Flamengo are 3 games since a loss
SCORED
28
SCORED
34
Flamengo have scored the most goals in Serie A
Flamengo have scored in their last 15 games
CONCEDED
21
CONCEDED
19
Flamengo have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SAO PAULO
FLAMENGO
PLAYED
10
PLAYED
9
WON
60%
6
WON
5
56%
Flamengo have won the most away games in Serie A
TIED
20%
2
TIED
3
33%
Flamengo are 4 games since an away tie
LOST
20%
2
LOST
1
11%
Flamengo have lost the fewest away games in Serie A
SCORED
15
SCORED
18
Flamengo have scored the most away goals in Serie A
Sao Paulo have scored in their last 5 home games
Flamengo have scored in their last 7 away games
CONCEDED
8
CONCEDED
9
Flamengo have conceded in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
SAO PAULO
FLAMENGO
PLAYED
20
PLAYED
19
BTTS
55%
11
BTTS
14
74%
OVER 2.5
60%
12
OVER 2.5
11
58%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
14
OVER 1.5
17
89%
CORNERS
9.6
CORNERS
10.6
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