Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro

Serie A, played Thursday, November 2nd, 2023

Here is our Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro Preview

The Brazilian top flight action continues on Thursday night when Sao Paulo play host to Cruzeiro at Morumbi with the hosts looking to hold onto their place in the top 12 of the Serie A table with a positive result here, while Cruzeiro are sitting on the fringes of the top 12 pack and will be keen to break through with all three points.

This season's Serie A campaign has been a tale of two halves for Thursday's hosts, Sao Paulo, as the home side have produced an impressive record of results on home soil but results away from home have been dire, as Sao Paulo have failed to win any of their 15 away games so far this term.

However, it's their form at home which concerns us for this upcoming clash with Cruzeiro and having won 10 of their 15 games to date at Morumbi along with being dealt just three defeats in the process, Sao Paulo look to be well placed to grab all three points here in this upcoming encounter.

Although the bigger picture shows Sao Paulo have managed to capture just three wins from their previous 15 games overall in the Brazilian top flight, the hosts have shown they are more than capable of picking up wins at home and they bring a three-match winning streak into Thursday's fixture.

Cruzeiro sit in 13th place and just a point outside of the top 12 places in the Serie A table and the visitors will also be in confident mood as they have collected back-to-back wins against Atletico Mineiro and Bahia in recent games and they'll be seeking a third league win on the trot at Morumbi as a result.

However, the bigger picture shows Cruzeiro have managed to capture just three wins from their previous 15 matches overall in the domestic top flight which includes wins on the road at Santos and Atletico Mineiro but they've also been handed five defeats on their travels within this period as well.

Interestingly, Cruzeiro have also failed to score in nine of these previous 15 league matches and their shyness in front of goal may contribute to their downfall in Thursday's clash at Morumbi.

Results away from home though have been pretty steady for Ze Ricardo's side as they have been dealt just three losses in their last 13 outings on their travels which gives the visitors a fighting chance of securing a result of some sort here.

Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro Verdict

This upcoming fixture looks a tight one to call but Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last three meetings at home against Cruzeiro, picking up two wins, so the hosts might just edge the points here in perhaps a narrow 1-0 victory.

Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 1.80

Other side bets worth considering:

Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.60

Correct score: Sao Paulo 1-0 @ 6.00

TIP
Small Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
39%
Tie
33%
Away
28%
Voting Is Now Closed
SAO PAULO V CRUZEIRO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-118
240
350
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
125
-175
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
150
-200
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-188
150
TIE NO BET
1
2
-275
200
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
450
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
162
Cruzeiro & BTTS Yes
1000
Cruzeiro & BTTS No
500
Tie & BTTS Yes
450
Tie & BTTS No
550
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
275
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
240
Cruzeiro & Over 2.5
850
Cruzeiro & Under 2.5
550
Tie & Over 2.5
2000
Tie & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
450
0-0
600
0-1
900
2-0
450
1-1
600
0-2
2200
2-1
800
2-2
2000
1-2
1600
3-0
1200
3-3
8000
0-3
5000
3-1
1600
1-3
4000
SAO PAULO
CRUZEIRO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
L
W
L
T
LAST 5
T
T
L
W
W
SAO PAULO
AAthletico Paranaense1-1
APalmeiras5-0
HGremio3-0
AGoias2-0
AVasco da Gama0-0
All ResultsHome Results
CRUZEIRO
HBahia3-0
AAtletico Mineiro0-1
HFlamengo0-2
ACuiaba Esporte Clube0-0
HAmerica Mineiro1-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SAO PAULO
CRUZEIRO
POSITION
12th
POS
14th
PLAYED
30
PLAYED
29
WON
33%
10
WON
9
30%
TIED
30%
9
TIED
10
33%
Cruzeiro are 3 games since a tie
LOST
37%
11
LOST
10
33%
SCORED
35
SCORED
28
Cruzeiro have scored the fewest goals in Serie A
CONCEDED
35
CONCEDED
24
Cruzeiro have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SAO PAULO
CRUZEIRO
PLAYED
15
PLAYED
14
WON
67%
10
WON
5
36%
Sao Paulo have won 3 home games in a row
TIED
13%
2
TIED
5
36%
Sao Paulo are 4 games since a home tie
LOST
20%
3
LOST
4
29%
SCORED
26
SCORED
19
Sao Paulo have scored in their last 4 home games
Cruzeiro have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
13
CONCEDED
13
Sao Paulo have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 home games
Cruzeiro have not conceded 2 or more in their last 4 away games
KEY STATS
SAO PAULO
CRUZEIRO
PLAYED
30
PLAYED
29
BTTS
53%
16
BTTS
7
24%
Cruzeiro are best in Serie A for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
50%
15
OVER 2.5
9
31%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
23
OVER 1.5
14
48%
Cruzeiro are best in Serie A for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
10.3
CORNERS
11.1
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