Sao Paulo v Botafogo

Serie A, played Wednesday, July 24th, 2024

Here is our Sao Paulo v Botafogo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Preview

Sao Paulo and Botafogo meet in one of the most attractive fixtures in the Brazilian Serie A midweek action in what is a top five clash at the MorumBIS; fifth placed Sao Paulo head into this game on the back of gaining a point in a 0-0 draw away from home at Juventude, while the Serie A leaders, Botafogo, captured a fifth league win on the trot with a 1-0 home win against Internacional last time out, extending their lead at the top of the table to three points.

Sao Paulo now return to the more familiar surroundings of their MorumBIS ground for this upcoming encounter and the hosts will be keen to make the most of their recent turnaround in form and results as Luis Zubeldia's side have suffered just one defeat in their last seven games overall in Serie A.

Within these last seven games, Sao Paulo have picked up five wins which consists of victories gained over Criciuma, Bahia, Athletico PR, Bragantino and Gremio and perhaps even more importantly, four of these five wins have been registered on home soil as well.

The bigger picture further underlines Sao Paulo's success at home as the hosts have lost just twice in their last 16 home games, picking up no fewer than 12 wins in the process.

League leaders Botafogo will be going in search of a sixth win on the trot in the Brazilian top flight when they make their way to Sao Paulo for this top five clash, and the visitors will also be keen to protect their three-point lead at the top of the table over second placed Palmeiras in the process.

Recent wins against Cuiaba, Atletico Mineiro, Vitoria, Palmeiras and Internacional will give Artur Jorge's side plenty of confidence that they can keep their winning momentum going at MorumBIS, especially as Botafogo have been handed just two defeats in their previous 17 games overall in the domestic top flight.

Within these previous 17 games, Botafogo have captured a total of 12 wins in the process, making them a dangerous proposition for Sao Paulo , but only five of these 12 wins were actually achieved away from home.

The bigger picture shows Botafogo have managed to collect just five wins in their last 14 outings on the road in the Brazilian top flight which also includes slipping to losses on their travels at Vasco da Gama, Internacional, Cruzeiro and Criciuma respectively.

Sao Paulo v Botafogo Verdict

This upcoming fixture looks like being another keenly fought tussle between two sides who are vying for a top four finish in the Serie A table and the accompanying spot in next season's Copa Libertadores, but with home advantage behind them here, Sao Paulo could nick a narrow win.

Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 2.20

Other side bets worth considering:

Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.00

Correct Score: Sao Paulo 1-0 @ 6.50

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
44%
Tie
38%
Away
18%
Voting Is Now Closed
SAO PAULO V BOTAFOGO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
130
200
260
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
120
-163
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
187
-250
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-175
137
TIE NO BET
1
2
-188
137
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
500
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
225
Botafogo & BTTS Yes
850
Botafogo & BTTS No
400
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
500
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
375
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
275
Botafogo & Over 2.5
700
Botafogo & Under 2.5
450
Tie & Over 2.5
1800
Tie & Under 2.5
225
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
450
0-0
450
0-1
650
2-0
450
1-1
500
0-2
1400
2-1
900
2-2
2000
1-2
1400
3-0
2000
3-3
8000
0-3
4000
3-1
2200
1-3
4000
SAO PAULO
BOTAFOGO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
L
W
T
LAST 5
W
W
W
W
W
SAO PAULO
AJuventude RS0-0
HGremio1-0
AAtletico Mineiro2-1
HBragantino2-0
AAthletico Paranaense1-2
All ResultsHome Results
BOTAFOGO
HInternacional1-0
HPalmeiras1-0
AVitoria0-1
HAtletico Mineiro3-0
ACuiaba Esporte Clube1-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SAO PAULO
BOTAFOGO
POSITION
5th
POS
1st
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
WON
50%
9
WON
12
67%
Botafogo have won the most games in Serie A
Botafogo have won 5 games in a row
TIED
22%
4
TIED
3
17%
Botafogo are 5 games since a tie
LOST
28%
5
LOST
3
17%
Botafogo have lost the fewest games in Serie A
Botafogo are 7 games since a loss
SCORED
26
SCORED
29
Botafogo have scored in all games this season
Sao Paulo have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
Botafogo have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
18
CONCEDED
14
Sao Paulo have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
Botafogo have achieved a shutout in their last 4 games
Botafogo have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 7 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SAO PAULO
BOTAFOGO
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
9
WON
67%
6
WON
5
56%
Botafogo have won the most away games in Serie A
Sao Paulo have won 4 home games in a row
TIED
11%
1
TIED
2
22%
Sao Paulo are 7 games since a home tie
LOST
22%
2
LOST
2
22%
SCORED
13
SCORED
13
Sao Paulo have scored in their last 4 home games
Botafogo have scored in all away games this season
CONCEDED
6
CONCEDED
9
Sao Paulo have not conceded 2 or more in their last 8 home games
Botafogo have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
SAO PAULO
BOTAFOGO
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
BTTS
56%
10
BTTS
10
56%
OVER 2.5
61%
11
OVER 2.5
8
44%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
13
OVER 1.5
12
67%
CORNERS
9.3
CORNERS
9.6
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