Serie A, played Wednesday, June 21st, 2023
Here is our Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Sao Paulo will be eager to stem the recent losses in the Brazilian top flight on Wednesday evening when they play host to Athletico PR at their Morumbi stadium following recent defeats to Gremio and Palmeiras, while Athletico PR have collected just one win in their last four matches overall.
These two recent losses have resulted in Sao Paulo dropping down the Serie A table to eighth place in the standings but the hosts remain only one point behind their upcoming opponents, Athletico PR, and with home advantage on Wednesday night, Sao Paulo will still feel upbeat about their chances ahead of this encounter.
Sao Paulo have lost just once in their opening five games on home soil which came in the shape of a 2-0 loss to Palmeiras last time out but Dorival Junior's side had previously recorded four wins on the trot with victories over America Mineiro, Internacional, Vasco da Gama and Goias, which also saw Sao Paulo score 11 goals in the process!
Athletic PR will make their way to the Morumbi stadium having registered just one win in their last four games which was a 1-0 home win over Botafogo but the visitors have also slipped to recent defeats against Bragantino and Gremio as well, so they too will be keen to return to winning ways on Wednesday night.
The visitors had previously collected three wins on the trot in Serie A with wins against Flamengo, Internacional and Coritiba respectively, but picking up positive results away from home continues to be a source of major concern for manager, Paulo Turra.
Athletico PR have managed to capture just one away win to date in this new Serie A campaign while the bigger picture shows the visitors have collected just this one victory out of their previous 13 outings on their travels, a poor sequence of results that include eight defeats as well.
In addition, nine of Athletico PR's last 13 away games have also seen the visitors concede 2 goals or more and this does not appear to bode well for this upcoming clash against a free-scoring Sao Paulo outfit.
Sao Paulo v Athletico PR Verdict
Sao Paulo have won six of their last nine home games in Serie A (66.6%) with six of these games also resulting in Over 2.5 goals, so the prospects of a home win and three goals or more scored look favourable on Wednesday night.
Athletico PR have managed to keep just two clean sheets in their last 13 outings on the road and the visitors have lost two of their last three visits to Sao Paulo as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 1.83
Other side bets worth considering:
Sao Paulo win & Over 2.5 goals @ 3.10
Correct score: Sao Paulo 3-0 @ 15.00
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| H | Palmeiras | 0-2 |
| A | Gremio | 2-1 |
| H | Goias | 2-1 |
| H | Vasco da Gama | 4-2 |
| A | Corinthians | 1-1 |
| A | America Mineiro | 2-2 |
| H | Botafogo | 1-0 |
| H | Gremio | 1-2 |
| A | Bragantino | 2-0 |
| H | Coritiba | 3-2 |