Palmeiras v Vitoria

Serie A, played Saturday, July 27th, 2024

Here is our Palmeiras v Vitoria tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Palmeiras home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Palmeiras vs Vitoria Preview

Palmeiras suffered a second defeat away from home on the trot in the Brazilian top flight in midweek when they were beaten 1-0 at relegation threatened Fluminense but the hosts will now return to the more familiar surroundings of their Allianz Parque for this upcoming clash with lowly Vitoria looking to make amends, while Vitoria also tasted defeat during the week when they were dealt a 2-1 loss at home to high-flying Flamengo, making it four defeats on the trot for the visitors.

Recent losses on the road at Botafogo and Fluminense have resulted in Palmeiras dropping down to third place in the Serie A standings but along with a previous 3-0 loss away from home at Fortaleza, these have been Palmeiras' only three defeats in their last 13 matches overall.

Palmeiras have collected no fewer than nine wins within this 13-game period, seven of which have been registered on home soil at their Allianz Parque which will give Abel Ferreira's side plenty of reasons to feel upbeat about their chances here this weekend.

Seven of these 13 games overall have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals and along with winning their last seven home games on the trot as well, Palmeiras look set to return to winning ways in this upcoming fixture.

Vitoria suffered a fourth league defeat on the trot in the Brazilian top flight during the week when they were handed a 2-1 loss at home to Flamengo which followed previous defeats at the hands of Botafogo, Fortaleza and Gremio respectively, which have contributed to Vitoria dropping down into the bottom four of the Serie A table and into the relegation zone.

Vitoria had previously put together an encouraging four-game unbeaten run back in early June in the domestic top flight which consisted of two draws and two wins; points picked up in draws with Cuiaba and Juventude were boosted by recording back-to-back wins against Internacional and Atletico Mineiro.

Since that latter win though, Vitoria have managed to capture just a further two wins in their subsequent nine games overall with victories over fellow strugglers Fluminense and Criciuma, but also includes slipping to seven defeats as well.

Six of Vitoria's last 10 games overall have resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored and as four of Vitoria's seven losses in recent times have been inflicted upon Thiago Carpini's side on their travels, the goals market may be the best option for this upcoming encounter.

Palmeiras v Vitoria Verdict

Palmeiras have lost just once in their last nine meetings against Vitoria, picking up no fewer than eight wins in the process, while six of these last nine encounters have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75

Other side bets worth considering:

Palmeiras win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05

Correct Score: Palmeiras 3-0 @ 8.50

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
61%
Tie
25%
Away
14%
Voting Is Now Closed
PALMEIRAS V VITORIA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-209
350
550
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-134
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
100
-125
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-334
250
TIE NO BET
1
2
-600
400
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Palmeiras & BTTS Yes
250
Palmeiras & BTTS No
125
Vitoria & BTTS Yes
1100
Vitoria & BTTS No
900
Tie & BTTS Yes
500
Tie & BTTS No
1000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Palmeiras & Over 2.5
130
Palmeiras & Under 2.5
250
Vitoria & Over 2.5
1000
Vitoria & Under 2.5
1000
Tie & Over 2.5
1800
Tie & Under 2.5
450
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
450
0-0
800
0-1
1600
2-0
450
1-1
750
0-2
4000
2-1
800
2-2
2200
1-2
2500
3-0
750
3-3
8000
0-3
10000
3-1
1200
1-3
6600
PALMEIRAS
VITORIA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
L
W
L
LAST 5
W
L
L
L
L
PALMEIRAS
AFluminense1-0
HCruzeiro2-0
ABotafogo1-0
HAtletico Goianiense3-1
HBahia2-0
All ResultsHome Results
VITORIA
HFlamengo1-2
AGremio2-0
AFortaleza CE3-1
HBotafogo0-1
HCriciuma SC2-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
PALMEIRAS
VITORIA
POSITION
3rd
POS
18th
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
WON
58%
11
WON
4
21%
Vitoria are 4 games since a win
TIED
16%
3
TIED
3
16%
Palmeiras are 5 games since a tie
Vitoria are 11 games since a tie
LOST
26%
5
LOST
12
63%
Vitoria have lost the most games in Serie A
Vitoria have lost 4 games in a row
SCORED
27
SCORED
20
Vitoria have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
14
CONCEDED
32
Vitoria have conceded the most goals in Serie A
Vitoria have conceded in their last 7 games
Palmeiras have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 5 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
PALMEIRAS
VITORIA
PLAYED
10
PLAYED
9
WON
70%
7
WON
1
11%
Vitoria are 3 games since an away win
Palmeiras have won 7 home games in a row
TIED
10%
1
TIED
2
22%
Palmeiras are 8 games since a home tie
Vitoria are 5 games since an away tie
LOST
20%
2
LOST
6
67%
Vitoria have lost 3 away games in a row
SCORED
16
SCORED
8
Palmeiras have scored in their last 7 home games
CONCEDED
6
CONCEDED
16
Vitoria have conceded in their last 3 away games
Palmeiras have not conceded 2 or more in their last 7 home games
KEY STATS
PALMEIRAS
VITORIA
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
BTTS
26%
5
BTTS
12
63%
Palmeiras are best in Serie A for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
37%
7
OVER 2.5
11
58%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
13
OVER 1.5
14
74%
CORNERS
10.7
CORNERS
9.4
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