Serie A, played Sunday, July 9th, 2023
Here is our Palmeiras v Flamengo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Palmeiras home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.
Palmeiras will be hoping that home form can put an end to a three-match winless run in the Brazilian top flight when they entertain fellow top four rivals, Flamengo, at their Allianz Parque for this important clash in Serie A with both sides keen to further boost their aspirations of a top four finish this season.
Recent back-to-back defeats to Bahia and Botafogo have been a bit of a blow for the fourth-placed hosts, Palmeiras, but they did at least pick up a point in last week's 2-2 draw away from home at Athletico PR which has helped maintain Palmeiras' place in the top four of the domestic top flight.
Results at home have been where Palmeiras have been strongest so far in this campaign as the hosts have captured four wins from their opening six games at Allianz Parque with victories gained over Cuiaba, Corinthians, Gremio and Coritiba respectively and although they lost last time out to Botafogo, Palmeiras will still feel confident about their chances of returning to winning ways here this Saturday evening.
Flamengo will be going in search of a third league win on the trot on Saturday when they make their way to Allianz Parque following recent wins against Santos and Fortaleza, which have also maintained Flamengo's place in the top of the Serie A table with the visitors occupying third place ahead of this weekend's action.
Indeed, recent results overall have been impressive for Flamengo as the visitors have lost just once in their previous nine matches overall in Serie A, whilst also picking up seven wins in the process, so they too will be upbeat about their chances this weekend.
Four of these seven wins were achieved on home soil at the Maracana but although Flamengo have won three of their last four outings on the road where they've picked up wins on their travels at the likes of Bahia, Vasco da Gama and Santos, the visitors have also slipped to four defeats within their last eight away games as well.
Indeed, the bigger picture shows Flamengo have won just five of their last 12 away games in the Brazilian top flight and they'll be facing stiff opposition from Palmeiras this Saturday as the quest for a top four finish continues.
Palmeiras v Flamengo Verdict
Palmeiras have lost just once in their last 17 home games and the hosts will be hoping they can lean on this impressive and solid record at Allianz Parque as they also have one eye on the chasing teams such as Bragantino and Fluminense who are hot on their heels.
Flamengo have produced inconsistent results away from home and this tussle could end up going the way of Palmeiras as the hosts have won two of the last three meetings at home against Flamengo.
Therefore, our main bet will be Palmeiras win @ 2.00
Other side bets worth considering:
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85
Correct score: Palmeiras 3-1 @ 17.00
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| A | Atletico Paranaense | 2-2 |
| H | Botafogo | 0-1 |
| A | Bahia | 1-0 |
| A | Sao Paulo | 0-2 |
| H | Coritiba | 3-1 |
| H | Fortaleza CE | 2-0 |
| A | Santos | 2-3 |
| A | Bragantino | 4-0 |
| H | Gremio | 3-0 |
| A | Vasco da Gama | 1-4 |