Fluminense v Sao Paulo

Serie A, played Thursday, November 23rd, 2023

Here is our Fluminense v Sao Paulo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Fluminense home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Preview

A second draw on the trot for Fluminense last time out in the Brazilian top flight only served to further extend the hosts' winless run in the Brazilian top flight to four games overall ahead of this top 12 clash against Sao Paulo at the Maracana on Wednesday night while Sao Paulo extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to four games with a point on the road in a 0-0 draw at Santos.

Having managed to collect just one win from their previous nine games overall in the domestic top flight, Fluminense are lucky to still be in one of the top 12 spots as they now sit in eighth place but now find themselves a significant 10 points adrift of the Copa Libertadores qualifier places heading into this midweek encounter with Sao Paulo.

Fluminense's singular success during this period came in the form of a 5-3 home win against Goias but the hosts have also slipped to five defeats within these last nine games so Fernando Diniz's side are by no means guaranteed here.

If Diniz's name is familiar, it's because Fluminense's coach is currently juggling roles between club and country and his side had to settle for a point in the recent Flu-Fla local derby against former Brazilian coach, Tite.

An improved run of four games without defeat have helped lift Sao Paulo up into the top half of the Serie A table where they occupy 10th place on the ladder following wins against Cruzeiro and Bragantino along with picking up points in draws with Athletico PR and Santos as well.

However, the bigger picture also shows Sao Paulo have had problems in picking up league wins in Serie A on a consistent basis as the visitors have managed to capture just five wins from their last 18 matches overall in the Brazilian top flight, with all five wins being achieved on home soil at their Morumbi Stadium.

Results away from home have therefore suffered for quite some time and this is underlined by the fact that Sao Paulo have now failed to win any of their last 16 outings on the road in Serie A, losing eight and drawing eight while their last win on their travels came in a 4-0 romp away at Goias just over a year ago.

Fluminense v Sao Paulo Verdict

Both Fluminense and Sao Paulo are therefore displaying inconsistent, if not poor form at the moment, so the goals market may be a prudent option here especially as 10 of Fluminense's 16 home games have resulted in Under 2.5 goals, while the same ratio applies to Sao Paulo's 16 away games to date this term.

Having won two of the last four meetings though, Fluminense may just sneak a narrow win here on Wednesday night in a low-scoring game.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.57

Other side bets worth considering:

Fluminense win @ 2.20

Correct Score: Fluminense 2-0 @ 9.50

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
68%
Tie
24%
Away
8%
Voting Is Now Closed
FLUMINENSE V SAO PAULO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
120
210
250
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-133
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
135
-175
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-225
175
TIE NO BET
1
2
-200
150
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Fluminense & BTTS Yes
450
Fluminense & BTTS No
240
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
700
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
450
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Fluminense & Over 2.5
300
Fluminense & Under 2.5
300
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
600
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
500
Tie & Over 2.5
1400
Tie & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
550
0-0
650
0-1
800
2-0
550
1-1
500
0-2
1600
2-1
850
2-2
1600
1-2
1200
3-0
2000
3-3
5000
0-3
4000
3-1
2000
1-3
3300
FLUMINENSE
SAO PAULO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
L
L
T
T
LAST 5
L
T
W
W
T
FLUMINENSE
AFlamengo1-1
AInternacional0-0
ABahia1-0
AAtletico Mineiro2-0
HGoias5-3
All ResultsHome Results
SAO PAULO
ASantos0-0
HBragantino1-0
HCruzeiro1-0
AAthletico Paranaense1-1
APalmeiras5-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
FLUMINENSE
SAO PAULO
POSITION
8th
POS
10th
PLAYED
33
PLAYED
33
WON
39%
13
WON
12
36%
Fluminense are 4 games since a win
TIED
24%
8
TIED
10
30%
LOST
36%
12
LOST
11
33%
Sao Paulo are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
43
SCORED
37
Fluminense have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 games
Sao Paulo have not scored 2 or more in their last 5 games
CONCEDED
42
CONCEDED
35
Sao Paulo have achieved a shutout in their last 3 games
Fluminense have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
Sao Paulo have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
FLUMINENSE
SAO PAULO
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
WON
69%
11
WON
0
0%
Sao Paulo have won the fewest away games in Serie A
Sao Paulo have not won away this season
TIED
25%
4
TIED
8
50%
Sao Paulo have tied the most away games in Serie A
LOST
6%
1
LOST
8
50%
Fluminense have lost the fewest home games in Serie A
SCORED
28
SCORED
9
Sao Paulo have scored the fewest away goals in Serie A
Sao Paulo have not scored 2 or more in an away game this season
CONCEDED
14
CONCEDED
22
Fluminense have conceded in their last 3 home games
KEY STATS
FLUMINENSE
SAO PAULO
PLAYED
33
PLAYED
33
BTTS
42%
14
BTTS
16
48%
OVER 2.5
39%
13
OVER 2.5
15
45%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
24
OVER 1.5
23
70%
CORNERS
11
CORNERS
10.2
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