Fluminense v Flamengo

Serie A, played Sunday, July 16th, 2023

Here is our Fluminense v Flamengo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Fluminense home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Fluminense vs Flamengo Preview

This weekend also features the upcoming local derby between Fluminense and Flamengo at the Maracanã on Sunday afternoon in what is otherwise known as the Flu-Fla derby with just two points separating fourth-placed Fluminense and their second-placed rivals, Flamengo, in this top four clash in the Brazilian top flight.

Fluminense returned to winning ways last time out with a 2-0 home win against Internacional and overall results in recent weeks have been fairly promising for Fluminense as they have lost just once in their last six matches overall in Serie A.

During this encouraging period of results, Fluminense have collected wins against Bragantino, Bahia and Internacional while three of these six games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals as well, and results on home soil have been even better for the hosts this season.

Fluminense still remain unbeaten at home in Serie A this term having picked up five wins and two draws to date this term, while the bigger picture shows that Fluminense have been dealt just one defeat in their last 20 home games which gives the hosts a definite chance of recording another three points at their rivals' expense.

It's also a home game for the ‘visitors' Flamengo who are joint-tenants of the Maracanã with their upcoming rivals, Fluminense, and they have also produced a solid sequence of results in the Brazilian top flight having lost just once in their previous 10 games overall which has helped lift Flamengo into second place in the domestic top flight table.

Seven wins within this 10-match period should give Flamengo plenty of reasons to be upbeat about their chances in Sunday's showdown at the Maracanã as well, and with six of these 10 games also producing two goals or more for Flamengo, the prospect of goals for this upcoming local derby look highly promising.

In addition, 11 of Flamengo's previous 16 league matches in Serie A have also produced Over 2.5 goals scored in total, so this upcoming encounter with local rivals, Fluminense, will not only be keenly anticipated by the two sets of fans but also the neutral spectators on Sunday afternoon.

Fluminense v Flamengo Verdict

Recent exchanges have seen Fluminense come out on top as they have registered three wins compared to Flamengo's two, while the two teams also shared the points in the other game in the previous six meetings between these two clubs.

In addition, four out of the last seven meetings between Fluminense and Flamengo have resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored in total and further goals look likely this Sunday with so much at stake for both clubs, not least a possible top four finish and the promise of Copa Libertadores football next season. Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90

Other side bets worth considering:

Fluminense win @ 2.87

Correct score: Fluminense 3-0 @ 29.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
50%
Tie
25%
Away
25%
Voting Is Now Closed
FLUMINENSE V FLAMENGO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
170
225
160
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
100
-125
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-300
240
TIE NO BET
1
2
-110
-125
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Fluminense & BTTS Yes
500
Fluminense & BTTS No
350
Flamengo & BTTS Yes
450
Flamengo & BTTS No
333
Tie & BTTS Yes
333
Tie & BTTS No
800
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Fluminense & Over 2.5
375
Fluminense & Under 2.5
450
Flamengo & Over 2.5
333
Flamengo & Under 2.5
400
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
300
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
850
0-0
1000
0-1
750
2-0
850
1-1
550
0-2
1100
2-1
1000
2-2
1200
1-2
850
3-0
2800
3-3
4000
0-3
2200
3-1
2200
1-3
1800
FLUMINENSE
FLAMENGO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
T
W
L
W
LAST 5
W
L
W
W
T
FLUMINENSE
HInternacional2-0
ASao Paulo1-0
HBahia2-1
HAtletico Mineiro1-1
AGoias2-2
All ResultsHome Results
FLAMENGO
APalmeiras1-1
HFortaleza CE2-0
ASantos2-3
ABragantino4-0
HGremio3-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
FLUMINENSE
FLAMENGO
POSITION
8th
POS
4th
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
WON
44%
7
WON
8
50%
Flamengo are 3 games since a win
TIED
25%
4
TIED
4
25%
Flamengo have tied 3 games in a row
LOST
31%
5
LOST
4
25%
Flamengo are 5 games since a loss
SCORED
21
SCORED
28
Flamengo have scored the most goals in Serie A
Fluminense have not scored in their last 2 games
Flamengo have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
16
CONCEDED
19
Flamengo have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
FLUMINENSE
FLAMENGO
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
8
WON
62%
5
WON
3
38%
TIED
38%
3
TIED
2
25%
LOST
0%
0
LOST
3
38%
Fluminense have lost the fewest home games in Serie A
SCORED
12
SCORED
13
Flamengo have scored the most away goals in Serie A
CONCEDED
4
CONCEDED
14
Fluminense have not conceded 2 or more goals in a home game this season
KEY STATS
FLUMINENSE
FLAMENGO
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
BTTS
38%
6
BTTS
9
56%
OVER 2.5
31%
5
OVER 2.5
9
56%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
13
OVER 1.5
14
88%
CORNERS
11.9
CORNERS
9.8
Fluminense are best in Serie A for high corners games
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