Serie A, played Wednesday, November 13th, 2024
Here is our Flamengo v Atletico Mineiro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Flamengo home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Flamengo picked up a second win in three games in the Brazilian top flight with a 1-0 win away from home at Cruzeiro and the hosts will be keen to further improve their current fifth place position by taking all three points here against Atletico MG, while the visitors slipped to a second defeat on the trot when they suffered a 1-0 loss away from home at Atletico GO.
Recent wins against Juventude and Cruzeiro along with a draw against Internacional should give the hosts plenty of confidence prior to this upcoming tussle with mid-table 11th placed Atletico MG, while the bigger picture shows the hosts have lost just once in their last six matches overall.
Four wins within these previous six games also suggest Flamengo may well gain the upper hand over their upcoming opponents having collected earlier wins against Athletico PR and Bahia in 1-0 and 2-0 victories respectively, and results overall on home soil at the MaracanĂ£ have also been very encouraging.
Flamengo have been handed just two defeats within their last 14 home games while Filipe Luis' side have also registered no fewer than nine wins within this period, thus giving the hosts a decent chance of picking up all three points here.
Atletico MG currently sit in 11th place and occupy one of the last of the top 12 pack in the Brazilian top flight table on the back of two defeats on the trot against Internacional and Atletico GO respectively, and recent results overall have been pretty disappointing for the visitors.
Rare wins against Gremio (home and away) and Bragantino have been outweighed by slipping to six losses within this period and it is perhaps telling that four out of these last six defeats have been dealt to Atletico MG on their travels which does not appear to bode well for this upcoming trip to the MaracanĂ£ against a solidly performing Flamengo side in their own backyard.
Indeed, Atletico MG have managed to capture just the single win from their previous nine outings on the road which came in the form of a 3-2 win against Gremio but also includes slipping to five defeats as well; losses at the hands of Botafogo, Criciuma, Bahia, Palmeiras and Atletico GO suggest this upcoming encounter with Flamengo could be another bridge too far for the visitors.
Flamengo v Atletico MG Verdict
Flamengo have certainly held the upper hand over their upcoming opponents as the hosts have lost just once in their previous seven meetings overall against Atletico MG and having recorded five wins within these seven games, Flamengo look the more likely to capture the all-important three points in this midweek fixture.
A win for Flamengo could take them up into fourth spot in the Serie A table.
Therefore, our main bet will be Flamengo win @ 1.75
Other side bets worth considering:
Flamengo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.60
Correct Score: Flamengo 1-0 @ 6.00
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| A | Cruzeiro | 0-1 |
| A | Internacional | 1-1 |
| H | Juventude RS | 4-2 |
| H | Fluminense | 0-2 |
| A | Bahia | 0-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| A | Atletico Goianiense | 1-0 |
| H | Internacional | 1-3 |
| A | Fortaleza CE | 1-1 |
| H | Gremio | 2-1 |
| H | Vitoria | 2-2 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||