Serie A, played Sunday, July 16th, 2023
Here is our Atletico Paranaense v Bahia tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Atletico Paranaense home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Atletico PR will be happy to return to the more familiar surroundings of their Ligga Arena when they play host to Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A on Sunday evening following defeat last time out.
Atletico PR were dealt a 1-0 defeat away from home at Fortaleza last Sunday and recent results overall have been fairly inconsistent where the hosts have been concerned as they have managed to pick up just two wins out of their last eight matches overall which came in the form of victories over Botafogo and Corinthians.
However, four defeats have overshadowed the successes as Atletico PR have suffered defeats at the hands of Bragantino, Gremio, Sao Paulo and Fortaleza although three of these four losses were handed to Atletico PR on the road.
Form on home soil though should still give Atletico PR plenty of confidence as the hosts have lost just twice in their previous 25 games at the Ligga Arena which also includes 16 wins as well, so the hosts stand a decent chance here.
Bahia have dropped down the Serie A table to 16th place where they find themselves perched just above the relegation zone ahead of this upcoming trip to face Atletico PR after failing to win any of their last three matches which included defeats to Fluminense and Gremio.
Indeed, results have also seemingly eluded Bahia in recent times as the visitors have managed to capture just one win from their last 10 matches overall in the domestic top flight which came in the shape of a 1-0 home win against Palmeiras but this rare success has been overshadowed by five defeats as well.
Losses to Santos, Flamengo, Internacional, Fluminense and Gremio have resulted in Bahia finding themselves in trouble of dropping down the Serie A table even further and into the bottom four, and it's worth noting that Bahia's only success during this period was achieved on home soil at their Arena Fonte Nova.
A similar trend of results have happened away from home as well, as Bahia have achieved just one victory out of their last 13 outings on the road and this must surely hand Atletico PR the initiative over this poor-travelling Bahia outfit.
Atletico PR v Bahia Verdict
Both Atletico PR and Bahia have produced some questionable and erratic results lately in the Brazilian top flight but although both sides have struggled for results, Atletico PR do hold home advantage here and they have at least gained a couple of victories on home soil in recent weeks.
Bahia's poor results away from home include losing eight of their last 13 games on the road along with failing to score in seven of these games as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Atletico PR win @ 1.61
Other side bets worth considering:
Atletico PR win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.40
Correct score: Atletico PR 2-0 @ 7.00
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| A | Fortaleza CE | 1-0 |
| H | Palmeiras | 2-2 |
| H | Corinthians | 1-0 |
| A | Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| A | America Mineiro | 2-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| A | Cuiaba Esporte Clube | 1-1 |
| H | Gremio | 1-2 |
| A | Fluminense | 2-1 |
| H | Palmeiras | 1-0 |
| H | Cruzeiro | 2-2 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||