Atletico Paranaense v Bahia

Serie A, played Sunday, July 16th, 2023

Here is our Atletico Paranaense v Bahia tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Atletico Paranaense home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Atletico PR vs Bahia Preview

Atletico PR will be happy to return to the more familiar surroundings of their Ligga Arena when they play host to Bahia in the Brazilian Serie A on Sunday evening following defeat last time out.

Atletico PR were dealt a 1-0 defeat away from home at Fortaleza last Sunday and recent results overall have been fairly inconsistent where the hosts have been concerned as they have managed to pick up just two wins out of their last eight matches overall which came in the form of victories over Botafogo and Corinthians.

However, four defeats have overshadowed the successes as Atletico PR have suffered defeats at the hands of Bragantino, Gremio, Sao Paulo and Fortaleza although three of these four losses were handed to Atletico PR on the road.

Form on home soil though should still give Atletico PR plenty of confidence as the hosts have lost just twice in their previous 25 games at the Ligga Arena which also includes 16 wins as well, so the hosts stand a decent chance here.

Bahia have dropped down the Serie A table to 16th place where they find themselves perched just above the relegation zone ahead of this upcoming trip to face Atletico PR after failing to win any of their last three matches which included defeats to Fluminense and Gremio.

Indeed, results have also seemingly eluded Bahia in recent times as the visitors have managed to capture just one win from their last 10 matches overall in the domestic top flight which came in the shape of a 1-0 home win against Palmeiras but this rare success has been overshadowed by five defeats as well.

Losses to Santos, Flamengo, Internacional, Fluminense and Gremio have resulted in Bahia finding themselves in trouble of dropping down the Serie A table even further and into the bottom four, and it's worth noting that Bahia's only success during this period was achieved on home soil at their Arena Fonte Nova.

A similar trend of results have happened away from home as well, as Bahia have achieved just one victory out of their last 13 outings on the road and this must surely hand Atletico PR the initiative over this poor-travelling Bahia outfit.

Atletico PR v Bahia Verdict

Both Atletico PR and Bahia have produced some questionable and erratic results lately in the Brazilian top flight but although both sides have struggled for results, Atletico PR do hold home advantage here and they have at least gained a couple of victories on home soil in recent weeks.

Bahia's poor results away from home include losing eight of their last 13 games on the road along with failing to score in seven of these games as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Atletico PR win @ 1.61

Other side bets worth considering:

Atletico PR win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.40

Correct score: Atletico PR 2-0 @ 7.00

TIP
Large Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
58%
Tie
29%
Away
13%
Voting Is Now Closed
ATLETICO PARANAENSE V BAHIA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-188
333
475
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-105
-125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-110
-110
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-333
250
TIE NO BET
1
2
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Atletico Paranaense & BTTS Yes
260
Atletico Paranaense & BTTS No
150
Bahia & BTTS Yes
1000
Bahia & BTTS No
900
Tie & BTTS Yes
500
Tie & BTTS No
1000
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Atletico Paranaense & Over 2.5
150
Atletico Paranaense & Under 2.5
260
Bahia & Over 2.5
900
Bahia & Under 2.5
900
Tie & Over 2.5
1600
Tie & Under 2.5
400
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
550
0-0
1000
0-1
1200
2-0
550
1-1
700
0-2
2800
2-1
750
2-2
1800
1-2
1600
3-0
1000
3-3
6600
0-3
6600
3-1
1200
1-3
4000
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
BAHIA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
L
W
T
L
LAST 5
T
W
L
L
T
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
AFortaleza CE1-0
HPalmeiras2-2
HCorinthians1-0
ASao Paulo2-1
AAmerica Mineiro2-2
All ResultsHome Results
BAHIA
ACuiaba Esporte Clube1-1
HGremio1-2
AFluminense2-1
HPalmeiras1-0
HCruzeiro2-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
BAHIA
POSITION
5th
POS
17th
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
WON
50%
8
WON
3
19%
Bahia are 5 games since a win
TIED
12%
2
TIED
5
31%
Atletico Paranaense are 3 games since a tie
LOST
38%
6
LOST
8
50%
SCORED
22
SCORED
15
Bahia have not scored in their last 2 games
Bahia have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 games
CONCEDED
18
CONCEDED
23
Atletico Paranaense have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
Atletico Paranaense have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
BAHIA
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
8
WON
75%
6
WON
1
12%
Bahia are 6 games since an away win
TIED
12%
1
TIED
2
25%
LOST
12%
1
LOST
5
62%
SCORED
14
SCORED
4
Atletico Paranaense have scored in all home games this season
Bahia have not scored 2 or more in an away game this season
CONCEDED
7
CONCEDED
12
Bahia have conceded in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
BAHIA
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
BTTS
44%
7
BTTS
9
56%
OVER 2.5
44%
7
OVER 2.5
8
50%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
13
OVER 1.5
12
75%
CORNERS
9.3
CORNERS
10.1
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