Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo

Serie A, played Friday, July 12th, 2024

Here is our Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Preview

Atletico Mineiro slipped to another defeat in the Brazilian Serie A when they were handed a heavy 3-0 loss away from home at Botafogo which resulted with the hosts dropping down the Serie A table to a mid-table position of 12th place, while Sao Paulo collected a fourth win on the trot courtesy of a solid 2-0 home win against Bragantino which has helped lift the visitors up into fourth place in the Serie A standings.

It's now just one win from their previous seven games overall in the domestic top flight for Atletico Mineiro, whose singular success during this period came in the shape of a 2-1 win away from home at Internacional but the hosts have also been dealt four defeats in recent weeks as well.

Losses at the hands of Palmeiras, Vitoria, Flamengo and Botafogo suggest this upcoming clash against high-flying Sao Paulo may be another tough challenge for Gabriel Milito's side and the prospects of a home win here for Atletico Mineiro look decidedly uncertain.

However, the goals market does look appealing as eight of Atletico Mineiro's last 10 league matches in Serie A have resulted in both teams hitting the back of the net.

Sao Paulo had previously slumped to a four-game winless run in the domestic top flight which included being handed back-to-back defeats by the likes of Cuiaba and Vasco da Gama but the visitors have certainly turned their form and results around in no uncertain fashion in recent times.

Indeed, Sao Paulo have won their last four games on the trot in the Brazilian Serie A which consists of claiming victories over the likes of Criciuma, Bahia, Athletico PR and Bragantino respectively which has also helped propel Luis Zubeldia's side up into fourth spot in the Serie A table and a possible chance of securing Copa Libertadores football for next season.

The visitors now have the challenge of remaining in the top four places of the Brazilian top flight which will be a tough ask for a side who have yet to really convince on their travels so far this season.

Three wins, two draws but also two defeats make up Sao Paulo's returns on the road to date this term which includes picking up wins at Atletico GO, Vitoria and Athletico PR along with being handed losses at Flamengo and Vasco da Gama as well.

Goals for both sides also looks fairly likely though from Sao Paulo's perspective as six of their last 10 matches in Serie A have resulted in both teams notching.

Atletico Mineiro v Sao Paulo Verdict

Two out of the last three meetings between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo have seen both teams score but the spoils could go to Sao Paulo.

Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS Yes @ 2.05

Other side bets worth considering:

Sao Paulo win @ 3.00

Correct Score: Sao Paulo 3-1 @ 29.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Away Win
1-3
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
24%
Tie
32%
Away
44%
Voting Is Now Closed
ATLETICO MINEIRO V SAO PAULO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
145
210
210
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-134
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
140
-188
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-225
175
TIE NO BET
1
2
-150
110
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Atletico Mineiro & BTTS Yes
500
Atletico Mineiro & BTTS No
275
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
650
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
350
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Atletico Mineiro & Over 2.5
375
Atletico Mineiro & Under 2.5
350
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
500
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
450
Tie & Over 2.5
1400
Tie & Under 2.5
250
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
600
0-0
600
0-1
650
2-0
600
1-1
500
0-2
1200
2-1
900
2-2
1600
1-2
1000
3-0
2500
3-3
6600
0-3
2800
3-1
2200
1-3
2500
ATLETICO MINEIRO
SAO PAULO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
W
T
L
L
LAST 5
L
W
W
W
W
ATLETICO MINEIRO
ABotafogo3-0
HFlamengo2-4
HAtletico Goianiense1-1
AInternacional1-2
HFortaleza CE1-1
All ResultsHome Results
SAO PAULO
HBragantino2-0
AAthletico Paranaense1-2
HBahia3-1
HCriciuma SC2-1
AVasco da Gama4-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ATLETICO MINEIRO
SAO PAULO
POSITION
13th
POS
5th
PLAYED
14
PLAYED
15
WON
29%
4
WON
8
57%
Atletico Mineiro are 3 games since a win
Sao Paulo have won 4 games in a row
TIED
43%
6
TIED
3
21%
Atletico Mineiro have tied the most games in Serie A
Sao Paulo are 6 games since a tie
LOST
29%
4
LOST
4
29%
Sao Paulo are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
20
SCORED
24
Sao Paulo have scored in their last 5 games
CONCEDED
23
CONCEDED
16
Atletico Mineiro have conceded in their last 10 games
Sao Paulo have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ATLETICO MINEIRO
SAO PAULO
PLAYED
7
PLAYED
7
WON
14%
1
WON
3
43%
Atletico Mineiro are 5 games since a home win
TIED
57%
4
TIED
2
29%
Atletico Mineiro have tied the most home games in Serie A
LOST
29%
2
LOST
2
29%
SCORED
9
SCORED
12
Atletico Mineiro have scored in their last 3 home games
Sao Paulo have scored in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
12
CONCEDED
10
Atletico Mineiro have conceded in their last 5 home games
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
ATLETICO MINEIRO
SAO PAULO
PLAYED
14
PLAYED
15
BTTS
64%
9
BTTS
9
60%
OVER 2.5
64%
9
OVER 2.5
10
67%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
13
OVER 1.5
12
80%
Atletico Mineiro are best in Serie A for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
9.4
CORNERS
8.8
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