Serie A, played Sunday, June 16th, 2024
Here is our Athletico Paranaense v Flamengo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Flamengo away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Athletico PR moved up into fourth place in the Brazilian Serie A standings following their midweek comprehensive 3-1 home win against strugglers Criciuma at their Ligga Arena and have also moved to within a point of the Serie A league leaders, Flamengo, whom they face off against at their Ligga Arena once again, while Flamengo also picked up all three points by way of a 2-1 home win against Gremio in midweek.
Recent form has certainly been promising for the hosts as Athletico PR have collected six wins out of their last 10 games overall in the domestic top flight and the hosts have made the most of home advantage during this period as five of these six victories have been achieved on home soil at their Ligga Arena.
Home wins against the likes of Santos, Cuiaba, Internacional, Vasco da Gama and Criciuma should give Cuca's side plenty of belief and confidence heading into this top four encounter against the league leaders.
The bigger picture also paints an encouraging outlook for Athletico PR as the hosts are unbeaten in their previous 19 home games, picking up no fewer than 11 wins in the process, while 11 of these 19 games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored too (57.8%).
Flamengo ensured they remain top of the Serie A table with a 2-1 midweek home win against Gremio which also became the visitor's third league win on the trot, following previous victories against Corinthians and Vasco da Gama, the latter being a particularly heavy 6-1 defeat of their opponents on the road.
Flamengo have been dealt just the one defeat so far in this season's Serie A campaign which came in the shape of a disappointing 2-0 loss at home to Botafogo but having also picked up five wins within their opening eight games so far this term, Flamengo currently sit at the summit of the domestic top flight table.
Victories over Atletico GO, Sao Paulo, Corinthians, Vasco da Gama and Gremio will equally place Flamengo in with a very decent chance of grabbing all three points in this upcoming clash, while results away from home have also been encouraging as well.
Indeed, Flamengo have slipped to just two defeats in their last 13 outings on the road in Serie A along with collecting seven wins in the process which gives Tite's side a great chance of extending their lead at the top of the Serie A standings this weekend.
Athletico PR v Flamengo Verdict
Both Athletico PR and Flamengo bring some very decent results into this top four clash but as both sides are in good nick at the moment, this may result in a low-scoring game. In addition, Flamengo have won five of the last seven meetings as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70
Other side bets worth considering:
Flamengo win @ 2.70
Correct Score: Flamengo 1-0 @ 8.00
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| H | Criciuma SC | 3-1 |
| A | Fortaleza CE | 1-0 |
| A | Palmeiras | 0-2 |
| H | Vasco da Gama | 1-0 |
| A | Juventude RS | 1-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Gremio | 2-1 |
| A | Vasco da Gama | 1-6 |
| H | Corinthians | 2-0 |
| A | Bragantino | 1-1 |
| H | Botafogo | 0-2 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||