UEFA Nations, played Friday, November 15th, 2024
Here is our Portugal v Poland tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Portugal home win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
Portugal remain unbeaten in this season's Nations League campaign having registered three wins and a draw and the Selecao sit top of the Group 1 table where they hold a three-point cushion over second placed Croatia ahead of these Matchday 5 fixtures on Friday night.
Victories in each of their opening three group games against Croatia 2-1, Scotland 2-1 and Poland 3-1 respectively, the latter being recorded away from home in Warsaw, along with a point gained by way of a 0-0 draw away at Scotland have placed Portugal in a strong position to progress out of the group stage and into the quarter-finals.
The Portuguese know another three points at the expense of Poland on Friday night would be enough to send Roberto Martinez's side into the last eight of this season's competition, and having registered no fewer than 19 wins within their last 24 internationals in all competitions, the hosts must be fancied here.
Goals also look set to feature in this upcoming clash at the Estádio Do Dragão as no fewer than nine out of Portugal's last 10 games on home soil have resulted in Over 2.5 goals as well.
Poland currently occupy third place in the Group 1 table where they have gained four points under their belts from their opening four group games but the visitors face a tough assignment on Friday night when they make their way to the Estádio Do Dragão.
An underwhelming showing at the Euro 2024 finals culminated in the Poles picking up just the solitary point which came in the form of a creditable 1-1 draw with France but having previously been handed defeats by Netherlands and Austria, Poland failed to emerge from their group and left the tournament thereafter.
A 3-2 win away from home at Scotland in their opening game of this group stage proved to be another false dawn for Poland as they slipped to back-to-back losses in their subsequent games against Croatia and Portugal, the latter being on home soil at their Stadion Narodowy in Warsaw.
A 3-3 draw at home with Croatia have given Poland an outside chance of achieving a quarter-final berth but they need to grab all three points here in this clash and hope Croatia fail to beat Scotland in their Matchday 5 fixture.
Goals also look set to come along for the ride as seven out of Poland's last 10 internationals have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals as well.
Portugal v Poland Verdict
Five of the last eight meetings have produced three goals or more while Portugal have won three out of the last four meetings against Poland as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.57
Other side bets worth considering:
Portugal win & Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72
Correct Score: Portugal 3-1 @ 11.00
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| A | Scotland | 0-0 |
| A | Poland | 1-3 |
| H | Scotland | 2-1 |
| H | Croatia | 2-1 |
| H | France | 0-0 |
| H | Croatia | 3-3 |
| H | Portugal | 1-3 |
| A | Croatia | 1-0 |
| A | Scotland | 2-3 |
| A | France | 1-1 |