Iceland v Wales

UEFA Nations, played Friday, October 11th, 2024

Here is our Iceland v Wales tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a draw. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Iceland vs Wales Preview

Iceland have produced a mixed start to their Nations League campaign as the hosts have won once and lost once in their opening two games in Group 4, while Wales still remain unbeaten after their opening two games of their campaign which has seen The Dragons pick up four points in the process.

Iceland picked up all three points in their opening game in Group 4 with a solid 2-0 home win against Montenegro but the hosts then slipped up in a heavy 3-1 loss away from home at Turkey, so the hosts will be keen to return to the more familiar surroundings of their Laugardalsvöllur for this upcoming clash against Wales.

Age Hareide's side have collected five wins within their last eight internationals overall and even more impressive is the fact that seven of these last eight matches have also been away from home as well.

The bigger picture shows a level of inconsistency though as Iceland have registered just eight wins within their last 20 internationals in all competitions whilst also drawing twice and being handed no fewer than 10 defeats in the process.

Overall results on home soil have also been fairly disappointing as Iceland have recorded just four wins from their last 18 home matches on the international stage along with losing seven of these games as well, while a lack of goals also looks likely as six of Iceland's last 10 home games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Wales have started their new Nations League campaign in positive fashion under new head coach Craig Bellamy as his side still remain unbeaten after their opening two games in Group 4 thanks to a 0-0 draw at home with Turkey followed by a useful looking 2-1 win on the road at Montenegro.

Overall results in recent times have been promising for the Welsh as they have stumbled to just two defeats within their last 12 internationals along with picking up five wins but the prospects of a possible stalemate in Iceland also looks fairly likely as Wales have also been involved in five draws within these previous 12 matches as well.

The goals market also looks inviting in terms of a low goal-count here on Friday night as seven of Wales' last 12 matches have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored an another low-scoring encounter could be on the cards here as well.

The straight win markets should also be avoided where Wales have been concerned especially away from home as the visitors have managed just two wins in their previous 11 outings on their travels.

Iceland v Wales Verdict

Three of the last five meetings between Iceland and Wales have resulted in Under 2.5 goals (60%) and this trend may continue on Friday night.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.64

Other side bets worth considering:

Draw @ 3.20

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 6.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Draw
1-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
26%
Draw
38%
Away
36%
Voting Is Now Closed
ICELAND V WALES HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
200
210
150
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-138
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-225
162
DRAW NO BET
1
2
100
-138
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Iceland & BTTS Yes
600
Iceland & BTTS No
350
Wales & BTTS Yes
500
Wales & BTTS No
275
Draw & BTTS Yes
350
Draw & BTTS No
650
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Iceland & Over 2.5
450
Iceland & Under 2.5
450
Wales & Over 2.5
375
Wales & Under 2.5
350
Draw & Over 2.5
1400
Draw & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
650
0-0
650
0-1
600
2-0
650
1-1
500
0-2
1000
2-1
1000
2-2
1600
1-2
900
3-0
2800
3-3
5000
0-3
2200
3-1
2500
1-3
2200
For cup games the statistics below represent the leagues that each team plays in. Statistics are for league games only (last 5 games is all games).
ICELAND
WALES
RECENT FORM
LAST 5
L
W
L
W
L
LAST 5
D
D
L
D
W
ICELAND
ATurkey3-1
HMontenegro2-0
ANetherlands4-0
AEngland0-1
AUkraine2-1
WALES
AMontenegro1-2
HTurkey0-0
ASlovakia4-0
AGibraltar0-0
HPoland0-0
FORM
FORM
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